February 2026 OBS & Discussion

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, Freezing Drizzle said:

The brutally cold season of 1976-1977 only yielded some 25 inches in the NYC area. (24.5" in CPK.)
Yes, the snowfalls lasted. lol

Heavy ice formation in the waterways. Area ferry services were suspended. 

Averages by month, Central Park:
November 1976 41.7 F (The coldest November since 1917 surely "primed" the cold waters.)
December 1976 - 29.9 F (Number 9 since records kept.)
January 1977 - 22.1 F (Number 2 since records kept.)
February 1977 - 33.5 F

October 1976 too.  That was the last time Central Park got down to the 20s in October.

[LoboLeader1]

Last night Orlando FLA saw temps fall to 27°F, while Juneau was @ 33°F, parts of southeastern U.S. was colder than parts of Southeast Alaska. 

[nycsnow]

Another consistent trend on the models specifically euro is dry though the end of their runs. Euro aifs is 0.2 qpf 

[Freezing Drizzle]

1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said:

October 1976 too.  That was the last time Central Park got down to the 20s in October.

Yes! 52.9 F that October.  Hasn't averaged below that since. Number 10 since records kept. 
Good catch.

@NorthShoreWx

[MJO812]

All the models show some milder weather as we head into February . A nice thaw. Hopefully it doesn't last long .

[donsutherland1]

Some photos of the Hudson River this morning.

Note: I edited out the intrusive light posts from the Henry Hudson Parkway on the photo looking toward the George Washington Bridge.

[MANDA]

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

All the models show some milder weather as we head into February . A nice thaw. Hopefully it doesn't last long .

Pattern looks to become much more progressive with less amplification and reverting back to more northern stream dominated.  Cold up in Canada is far less frigid and less widespread over western Canada than it was.  Lowest temperature at this hour up in the Yukon Province is -1, most of the NWT is in the single digits above and below zero. Still cold and solid and deep snow cover up stream so we should get some benefit from that from that for a while.  After next weekends cold shot the worst of the worst in terms of cold is likely over for the winter.  I wouldn't bet against below normal precipitation for the first two weeks of February.

[jm1220]

13 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Pattern looks to become much more progressive with less amplification and reverting back to more northern stream dominated  Cold up in Canada is far less frigid and less widespread over western Canada than it was.  Lowest temperature at this hour up in the Yukon Province is -1, most of the NWT is in the single digits above and below zero. Still cold and solid and deep snow cover up stream so we should get some benefit from that from that for a while.  After next weekends cold shot the worst of the worst in terms of cold is likely over for the winter.  I wouldn't bet against below normal precipitation for the first two weeks of February.

Our chance at getting something major is likely when the cold relaxes. Pattern will be too suppressed until then. It doesn’t prevent us from getting a few inch clipper if we’re lucky. But we risk again when the cold relaxes that we go back to SWFE and cutter. 

[eduggs]

The GEFS, GEPS, EPS, ICON-EPS, EPS, GFSAI, ECMWF-AIFS and EPS-AIFS are all very dry out through 10 days. That has been the theme of this winter apart from last weekend.

[NEG NAO]

[eduggs]

Cold, windy, dry. 

[nycsnow]

15 minutes ago, eduggs said:

The GEFS, GEPS, EPS, ICON-EPS, EPS, GFSAI, ECMWF-AIFS and EPS-AIFS are all very dry out through 10 days. That has been the theme of this winter apart from last weekend.

Hopefully something pops up. Really wanna take advantage of this cold

[SACRUS]

 

3 clipper monte

Wed (2/4) :  Perhaps a dusting 
Sat (2/7): Perhaps a coating
Mon - Tue (2/9-10)     GGEM snow
 

[IrishRob17]

This morning’s snow depth

 

[Rjay]

7 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Wow miami

I wish this was true 

[sussexcountyobs]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

All the models show some milder weather as we head into February . A nice thaw. Hopefully it doesn't last long .

Feburary will end up 6-10 degrees below average. 

[TJW014]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

All the models show some milder weather as we head into February . A nice thaw. Hopefully it doesn't last long .

Change "February" to Thanksgiving, then to Christmas, then to January. 

Cold's going nowhere. February may very well be below average too. 

[NorthShoreWx]

Long Island Sound was starting to slush over on Smithtown Bay yesterday.  Any atmospheric physicists want to weigh in on whether that freezing process is keeping things a little warmer along the north shore than they would have been?  On another note: although cold, a lot of days and nights recently have been running above forecast but today is running colder than forecast.  Doesn't look like we'll make it any higher than about 20.

 

[nycsnow]

Close enough to monitor

[MANDA]

The early February sun doing its thing to the snow cover over GA and SC today.

https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_SE/loop60v.html

[JustinRP37]

I always say to enjoy the coldest temps of the year around here. Most years now they don't last long and then we will be roasting in humidity and heat for many months. The cold this year has been great. Skiing has been nice, and the sun makes it feel not so bad. It has been impressively sunny. Some love to complain about the weather no matter what it does. There is only bad gear and bad attitudes. Only weather that truly demoralizes me is constant mist/rain between 34-50 that we seem to get for weeks in April now. 

[MarcmmKU]

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Our chance at getting something major is likely when the cold relaxes. Pattern will be too suppressed until then. It doesn’t prevent us from getting a few inch clipper if we’re lucky. But we risk again when the cold relaxes that we go back to SWFE and cutter. 

It's becoming increasingly clear that Sunday storm will likely be the thing we all remember the most from this winter.