Uniblab Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Easy come, easy go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago GEFS LP lean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 4 minutes ago, SACRUS said: UKMET was not worth posting. I think UK is never worth posting! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Look at all those west members. Yeah but they are too far south. Get them clustered 100 miles north of there and lookout in Tom’s River. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago does anybody have the GEFS individual ensemble members graphic chart ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: which one of those numbers ( members) is the OP ? I posted the wrong run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago The trough orientation is neutral on the Canadian and actually does go negative at the last minute. I think it would have ended up better if not for the double barreled low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Many notable events here.....more for the SE overall https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=SE&fhr=F084&rundt=2026012812&map=thbCOOP72 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcmmKU Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Damn this would have rocked if the models shifted west by a lot more by now. Hard to get significant changes in the low placement 3 days out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 5 minutes ago, MarcmmKU said: Damn this would have rocked if the models shifted west by a lot more by now. Hard to get significant changes in the low placement 3 days out. Not at all. It’s a very volatile setup where small changes aloft can result in significant changes at the surface. That said there are larger features that aren’t favorable-the kicker coming from the Dakotas, early closing off and positive tilt. We need one or two of those to change around soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Not at all. It’s a very volatile setup where small changes aloft can result in significant changes at the surface. That said there are larger features that aren’t favorable-the kicker coming from the Dakotas, early closing off and positive tilt. We need one or two of those to change around soon. This is so close we are not going to have all the answers till at least Friday or Saturday IMO because there is a good chance of at least some snow in the Region 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 10 minutes ago, MarcmmKU said: Damn this would have rocked if the models shifted west by a lot more by now. Hard to get significant changes in the low placement 3 days out. 4 days until the first flakes would be flying. Nam isn't even in range yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 27 minutes ago, hooralph said: The legacy of the Boxing Day storm creates false hope for a miraculous comeback just like the 2004 Sox give fan bases false hope about coming back from 3-0 down and the 2016 Pats from coming back 28-3 in the 4th Quarter. Way to many Boston references in there coming from a supposed New Yorker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 5 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Way to many Boston references in there coming from a supposed New Yorker. He used to live in Boston. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago euro AI loading. If this thing don't show at least 3-6 i'll be real surprised! 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: euro AI loading. If this thing don't show at least 3-6 i'll be real surprised! Weren't you out yesterday lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Still thinking this is a 1-3” or 3-6” type deal for ISP east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Could This be a south fork LI special where east Hampton or MTK get 6-12” and west of say Riverhead sees 1-3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 9 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: euro AI loading. If this thing don't show at least 3-6 i'll be real surprised! Surprise 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Maybe we don't see a NW trend. But something else to note is that the precipitation shield can often be modeled too far south. Look at Jan 2016. IIRC that low passed SE of the benchmark, yet still flung significant precip well inland. Two different storms, but if this winds up being a sub-970 low, there's going to be a large precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Does anyone remember the storm where montauk got 6” and the rest of the tri state got nothing? I think it was pretty late in winter maybe a few years ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Euro delayed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Just now, Nibor said: Euro delayed? AI is OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 1 minute ago, mikem81 said: AI is OTS I'm talking about the OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mo Snow Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago My gut says swing and a miss at this point. Maybe we get 1-2" but im a noob and a weenie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Euro ai not budging…if euro don’t trend better gonna be tough to rely solely on the GGEM to lead the way lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Since this last big storm, the news media social media posts aren't getting the negative stuff, laughing emojis, we're getting nothing there never right etc... they better not stay on the its coming tune, if it doesn't look like it's coming or the trust they just gained back is gone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Euro delayed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 2 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Euro delayed? Just started populating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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