NJwx85 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: cmc is like 150 miles west It’s still a miss except for LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, NJwx85 said: It’s still a miss except for LI. That run also has multiple lows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, NJwx85 said: It’s still a miss except for LI. this is going to hit us hard mark my words 8 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1/28 12z GGEM Total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: i think this happens saturday night into sunday 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, MJO812 said: That run also has multiple lows Yeah, but it makes sense. This vort that swings through creates the first low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Good sign. But tonight I’d say we need consistent positive trends to start. We all know the negatives-kicker diving SE, 6 different unconsolidated lows, positive tilt, closes off early. One or two of those need to trend in a positive direction at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: No, I just showed you the 250mb winds. The trough orientation is wrong. The Canadian and GFS are not set in stone as any adjustmet in those 250 mb winds or trough alignment can shift the storm just far enough west to impact the immediate NYC metro - it happened before the Boxing Day storm and no reason it can't happen again - have to leave all options on the table IMO - throwing in the towel today is a big risk.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 3 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 1/28 12z GGEM Total QPF That's still almost a foot for coastal NJ and LI. Ratios will be high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 47 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 1/28 12z Summary Total QPF NYC ICON: -0 GFS: 0.01 GFS Ai AIFS: 0.01 GGEM: 0.2 Updated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: We need the Forky line drop. He's still optimistic. 10 minutes ago, Juturna said: But...I was told this was coming. Why would Rjay betray us like this? If I miss by 150 miles from day 6 sue me I guess 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago GEFS looks like it will be slightly worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 3 minutes ago, TJW014 said: That's still almost a foot for coastal NJ and LI. Ratios will be high. The Jury will still be out deliberating till at least tomorrow - all options on the table IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 5 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: The Canadian and GFS are not set in stone as any adjustmet in those 250 mb winds or trough alignment can shift the storm just far enough west to impact the immediate NYC metro - it happened before the Boxing Day storm and no reason it can't happen again - have to leave all options on the table IMO - throwing in the towel today is a big risk.. I’m not throwing in the towel but I’m being realistic based on what I see, the trends and my experience. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juturna Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Rjay said: He's still optimistic. If I miss by 150 miles from day 6 sue me I guess 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago Ukie basically goes due east from the Carolina’s lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago She’s alive! Oh Canada! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 15 hours ago Author Share Posted 15 hours ago Just now, nycsnow said: Ukie basically goes due east from the Carolina’s lol 6-12 for Bermuda 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I’m not throwing in the towel but I’m being realistic based on what I see, the trends and my experience. also this is not an all or nothing storm for NYC immediate metro - still can receive advisory or WSW from this - I would lean toward throwing in the towel regarding a MECS or higher though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: also this is not an all or nothing storm for NYC immediate metro - still can receive advisory or WSW from this - I would lean throwing in the towel regarding a MECS or higher though I mean this could be a major storm for eastern Long Island and SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Sorry rjay its not coming Oh it's coming! Don't you dare lose hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago The legacy of the Boxing Day storm creates false hope for a miraculous comeback just like the 2004 Sox give fan bases false hope about coming back from 3-0 down and the 2016 Pats from coming back 28-3 in the 4th Quarter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago This storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 5 minutes ago, North and West said: . Nostalgic "1980s Weather Channel WSW Alert During Local Weather" font. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago UKMET was not worth posting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Nibor said: which one of those numbers ( members) is the OP ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 1/28 12z GEFS Total QPF Mean qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Nibor said: Look at all those west members. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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