jdj5211 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 NAM running….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freezing Drizzle Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 hours ago, nycsnow said: Would be close to blizzard criteria if euro verified wonder what the lowest total blizzard amount is for nyc?? NYCSNOW - During the winter of 1976 or 1977 there was an area-wide event dubbed the "One inch blizzard." It was exactly what they called it. You might be able to search for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 NAM pops a low 300 miles east of the Bahamas lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Hopefully between now and Saturday the thread title can be changed to YES, It's coming ! and the observation thread can be called It's Finally Here ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, TJW014 said: NAM pops a low 300 miles east of the Bahamas lol Trof has more positive tilt than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Nam wayyyyy OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Nam wayyyyy OTSIt does countless wonky things on this run. But hey who knows. Not us. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Recon are sampling the upper-level shortwave off PNW that will kick off our storm. IDK if dropsonde data is being ingested by this model run, but definitely 06z. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 12z tomorrow. See y'all then. Have to fix the hydraulic lines on all of my machines. Hope the next storm is powder... screw the weight of ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Icon same as 18z so at least it didn’t go back east lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: Icon same as 18z so at least it didn’t go back east lol 2 lows again on the icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 This isn't an official model but I am doing some algorithms with all the models and atmospheric pressure logging them all in and an AI agent is coming up with the track. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: This isn't an official model but I am doing some algorithms with all the models and atmospheric pressure logging them all in and an AI agent is coming up with the track. We can pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: This isn't an official model but I am doing some algorithms with all the models and atmospheric pressure logging them all in and an AI agent is coming up with the track. 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 What’s the status? I can’t read back. Good trends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 RGEM with stronger ridging over the West Coast. Trof has a bit more negative tilt to it also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 6 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: This isn't an official model but I am doing some algorithms with all the models and atmospheric pressure logging them all in and an AI agent is coming up with the track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 The 0z RGEM develops the lead low. Not surprisingly, it exits well south and east of the region. The earlier run developed the trailing low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: What’s the status? I can’t read back. Good trends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: The 0z RGEM develops the lead low. Not surprisingly, it exits well south and east of the region. The earlier run developed the trailing low. Pick your choice there’s 17 lows lol models are getting more confused as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said: The 0z RGEM develops the lead low. Not surprisingly, it exits well south and east of the region. The earlier run developed the trailing low. Rgem looks way better than the Nam and looks decent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, nycsnow said: Pick your choice there’s 17 lows lol models are getting more confused as we get closer Yep models might be confused on which low to work with . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 At this point just need to hope the euro has a handle on this and adjusts west over the next 48 hours. It's possible. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Its coming 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: This isn't an official model but I am doing some algorithms with all the models and atmospheric pressure logging them all in and an AI agent is coming up with the track. Excellent! Now try running these modeling systems (similar to the AIGFS and EC-AIFS). They'll perform better and you'll get a good challenge out of it https://github.com/google-deepmind/graphcast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 11 minutes ago, Rjay said: He definitely gets an A+ for effort. If you don’t like what the models show…make your own…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Pick your choice there’s 17 lows lol models are getting more confused as we get closer Yes. It might not be until Friday before a solid consensus is achieved. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Rgem looks way better than the Nam and looks decent. Yes. That’s true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 29 Author Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Its coming Completely agree 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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