The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[WinstonSalemArlington]

32 minutes ago, Regan said:

And he bumped up here in Wake down. Right as I was getting excited about the Nam. I mean… at least gimme 6. 

Bumped up in western Triad

[blueheels2]

18 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

3K NAM continues the dry slot trend, but fills it in slightly.  2-3" for central NC, including Wake.  

The snow really doesn't start falling until this time tomorrow.  We spend all day waiting...waiting...waiting.

Just another winter in the Triangke.

[ADB83]

I’ve been hugging the ICON like a teddy bear. When yet another bad NAM run tries to crush my dreams. I just run back to the next ICON


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[WinstonSalemArlington]

It’s radar watching time. Virga underway in the Triad and border counties 

[Derived42]

1 minute ago, MOD said:

This would be insane for Charlotte. But at this point, I don't trust any of the models to tell me what's going to happen. 

Gonna say for Charlotte we get 5. And I'll be super happy with it. We haven't seen anything like this for a long time. 

 

[SECane]

7 minutes ago, CentralNC said:

God, I hope not.  Did not get a flake out of that one in Forsyth county!

Oof that sucks. I was in the Midlands of SC and we got hammered down there and it was a complete surprise. I’m in the CLT area now, and I’m reading that they got even more. It’s always the first one that comes to mind when I think of the big dogs.

[MOD]

[Regan]

@PackGrad05 Allan posted the 3k Nam conus and it showed 5.3in for Raleigh it that makes you feel better that 2-3 that you said above 

[MOD]

[Regan]

Anyone for the RGEM

[timnc910]

18z RGEM

 

[IceQueen706]

14 minutes ago, Aleksey said:

Since there’s like no one from GA in here and our GA folks get no love, I’ll make sure to keep y’all posted in intensity and inches, since it will hit here early morning and end by early afternoon. I’ll let you know how it’s going and try and get some pics and videos. Enjoy y’all! I’m still calling for 2-4” in MBY but 4-5” is not out of the question either, as radars are putting heavy banding right over MBY.


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I'm here.  Rabun County, Clayton, a few miles from SC on 76E

[jlewis1111]

2 minutes ago, timnc910 said:

18z RGEM

 

Honestly this looks like the most realistic map Ive seen today

[Grayman]

Does anybody have any good tools to try to see where the low pressure is trying to set up off the coast? I’m talking about something live or updates every hour. I’ve been tracking this for a week so I figure I’d need something to do tonight besides looking at the radar.

[tgarren]

the spread and variability of the models less than 24 hours out is something im not sure i have ever seen before

[Snowncanes]

2 minutes ago, Grayman said:

Does anybody have any good tools to try to see where the low pressure is trying to set up off the coast? I’m talking about something live or updates every hour. I’ve been tracking this for a week so I figure I’d need something to do tonight besides looking at the radar.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17

[Grayman]

3 hours ago, Silver Meteor said:

Here you can see the vortex forming east of Savannah. Doesn't look all that far out to sea. 

https://www.ventusky.com/wind-gusts-map/1-hour#p=32.38;-78.00;6&w=0xIAb9A9A

I found this interesting. I’m an amateur. Do you have any updates on where you think it might be forming

[kvegas-wx]

2 minutes ago, Grayman said:

I found this interesting. I’m an amateur. Do you have any updates on where you think it might be forming

Yep, and you can see our boundary that is guiding the storm track OTS running right past Hatteras instead of up the coast.

[NEGA_Dawg]

12 minutes ago, IceQueen706 said:

I'm here.  Rabun County, Clayton, a few miles from SC on 76E

Im here.

[olafminesaw]

5 minutes ago, Grayman said:

I found this interesting. I’m an amateur. Do you have any updates on where you think it might be forming

[franklin NCwx]

Just now, NEGA_Dawg said:

Im here.

You're in rabun county?

[AGardiner87]

Chris Justus’s updated map! 

[kanc2001]

Analog for Columbia SC is Feb 2010?

[NEGA_Dawg]

2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

You're in rabun county?

Elbert County.

[Grayman]

5 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Yep, and you can see our boundary that is guiding the storm track OTS running right past Hatteras instead of up the coast.

Like I said, I’m an amateur and I’m not sure how to look at that based on that link he posted. Feel like putting me through school real quick. I assume that’s bad news.

[eyewall]

[franklin NCwx]

Just now, eyewall said:

Lol..I assume you're at the tip of the screw?

[NEGA_Dawg]

Just now, eyewall said:

Looks good.

[BornAgain13]

I think my dog could take a guess at the snow chances and probably do just as good at this system

[CoolBreeze]

3 minutes ago, Grayman said:

Like I said, I’m an amateur and I’m not sure how to look at that based on that link he posted. Feel like putting me through school real quick. I assume that’s bad news.

Someone had posted this wind field map showing circulations off the coast. I'll leave it to other to indicate if it's useful to see where development may be occurring. I suspect it a snapshot-in-time as opposed to a prediction of how it will move.

Link: https://www.ventusky.com/wind-gusts-map/1-hour#p=32.26;-80.41;6&w=0xIAb9A9A