GreyHat Posted Wednesday at 09:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:52 PM 55 minutes ago, Jake Wx said: yea... were not torching I'm talking about the around 17. AIEuro, AIGFS and Euro, the 850mb are warm for that period too, the 700mb is cold but the warm air aloft will hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Wednesday at 10:13 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:13 PM 23 minutes ago, Ji said: he isnt using the proper date range smh. You have to use this: AI EPS He's new here. Cut him some slack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Wednesday at 10:30 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:30 PM 18z GFS Way North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 10:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:33 PM Where the fuck did that thing on the 12th come from on the GFS?? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Wednesday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:35 PM Where the fuck did that thing on the 12th come from on the GFS??When do we start a thread for this threat? When do you start doing play-by-play and when’s the radio show? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Wednesday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:35 PM 5 minutes ago, stormy said: 18z GFS Way North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:36 PM Just now, Ji said: When do we start a thread for this threat? When do you start doing play-by-play and when’s the radio show? PBP prob Sat. Radio Show will be on Monday hosted by DT and jxdama 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Wednesday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:37 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Where the fuck did that thing on the 12th come from on the GFS?? I like what the gfs is smoking for next week. must be hanging with @dailylurker lol 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 10:38 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:38 PM Just now, Chris78 said: I like what the gfs is smoking for next week. must be hanging with @dailylurker lol @mitchnick posted that the UKMet had something around that time too. Hmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Wednesday at 10:40 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:40 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: @mitchnick posted that the UKMet had something around that time too. Hmm I guess the hurricane hunters dropped in some new data points out in the Pacific. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Wednesday at 10:47 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:47 PM No PDIII on the GFS..but hey, we got a thing or two to track. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted Wednesday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:55 PM 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: No PDIII on the GFS..but hey, we got a thing or two to track. For sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Wednesday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:56 PM 23 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Where the fuck did that thing on the 12th come from on the GFS?? It has been suggestive of a wave or 2 between the 9th and 12th on recent runs. There is some decent vorticity being puked out from the upper low digging south along the west coast of Canada and riding overtop the de-amplifying ridge as it shifts eastward. Also some energy ejecting eastward from the SW. Wouldn't it be something if there was enough interaction as those pieces head east to make something happen before the window we are focused on lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Wednesday at 10:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:57 PM 22 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Where the fuck did that thing on the 12th come from on the GFS?? All the models have that lead wave but it’s been mostly weak and way north so we weren’t paying attention. But given the seasonal trend it could shift south. And it will impact what happens after so we should pay attention. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Wednesday at 11:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:00 PM 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: @mitchnick posted that the UKMet had something around that time too. Hmm I think that was Heisy. I was in MD driving all around the beltway down I83 instead of the west side of the Beltway thanks to an accident that closed the west side for 4hrs+. Effers! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Wednesday at 11:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:03 PM Who TF said the AIFS lost interest? It’s was the strongest signal across all the 12z guidance. mean more importantly the median is improving 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Wednesday at 11:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:05 PM 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Who TF said the AIFS lost interest? It’s was the strongest signal across all the 12z guidance. mean more importantly the median is improving Don't you love that purple over our back yards? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted Wednesday at 11:09 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:09 PM Seems like the general trend across guidance today is the push back of the cold air next week quicker and stronger against that ridging. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Wednesday at 11:10 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:10 PM 22 minutes ago, stormtracker said: No PDIII on the GFS..but hey, we got a thing or two to track. It ain’t over. I didn’t hear no bell. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Wednesday at 11:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:19 PM 10 minutes ago, Steve25 said: Seems like the general trend across guidance today is the push back of the cold air next week quicker and stronger against that ridging. Thats been the theme for 6+ months now 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Wednesday at 11:23 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:23 PM 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Thats been the theme for 6+ months now And it looks to get interesting with the Pacific starting to chip into the mix. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Wednesday at 11:41 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:41 PM The Ai looks dry and stupid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Wednesday at 11:43 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 11:43 PM 1 minute ago, Ji said: The Ai looks dry and stupid Yup....WB 18Z AI EURO 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 12:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:02 AM Tired of models swinging widely from run to run. Ai shouldn’t do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 12:08 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:08 AM 57 minutes ago, BristowWx said: It ain’t over. I didn’t hear no bell. What are yer waitin' fer!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 12:09 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:09 AM 26 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Yup....WB 18Z AI EURO Tracks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 12:13 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:13 AM Ai ensembles still snowy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 12:13 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:13 AM AIFS EPS still very interested. Save yourselves time and don’t look at op runs past 100 hours. Not saying this is going to happen. There is uncertainty even among the various ensembles. But worrying about the op runs at this range will just add confusion and noise. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 12:14 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:14 AM Just now, Ji said: Ai ensembles still snowy You mthr FCKN ninja Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 12:16 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:16 AM 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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