January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!

[Berlin1926]

13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Final Thoughts, these totals include sleet accumulation.  Things really started to tighten up the snow/ice gradient the last 24 hours.  I see a path for this to bust low...if we do have really heavy precip in the morning between 10-16Z like the RGEM/Euro/GFS/UK show 

 

Huh?  Includes sleet?  We're at 2.5" now with just snow southwest of Richmond?

[Berlin1926]

15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Final Thoughts, these totals include sleet accumulation.  Things really started to tighten up the snow/ice gradient the last 24 hours.  I see a path for this to bust low...if we do have really heavy precip in the morning between 10-16Z like the RGEM/Euro/GFS/UK show 

 

Huh?  Includes sleet?  We're at 2.5" now with just snow southwest of Richmond?

[EHoffman]

Rates picking up very nicely.  Beautiful scenes out.  

[Interstate]

Nothing like sitting outside watching some snow 

[paulythegun]

You must be looking at different roads than me. 

Trust me, I'm kind of weirded out!

[poprock49]

1 minute ago, EHoffman said:

Rates picking up very nicely.  Beautiful scenes out.  

I'm surprised by how heavy it is. Flakes aren't big but not puny either

[konksw]

About to go for a walk with a hot toddy. 

[psuhoffman]

RRFS held from its previous run showing a general 6-8" across most of the area before the flip 

[Disc]

This has gotta be some of the heaviest sleet I've ever seen. Temp is now down to 7F. Insanity! 

[Jebman]

25 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Good lord. that was one of the most cold one mile Jebwalks I have ever taken. The snow is steady. Not crushing. But the cold. OMG very different from my normal Jebwalk. It is cold as shit out yall. 

That, was a true Vodka-cold Jebwalk.

[Nomz]

Apple Weather still has 12-15. Does anyone know what model they could possibly be pulling from?

[clskinsfan]

I am getting demolished right now. Amazing!!

[WEATHER53]

1/3rd inch since 12 midnight onset .  Moderate to heavy rates but small flakes 

[Cobalt]

Just now, Disc said:

This has gotta be some of the heaviest sleet I've ever seen. Temp is now down to 7F. Insanity! 

The type of observation we're gonna look back on years from now. So curious as to what the coldest ever sleet observation is, that's gotta be close.

 

11F with -SN/SN here. 

[mitchnick]

Started snowing in Hanover about 20 minutes ago. Steady and light with increasing intensity as the towers atop Pigeon Hills 2.5 miles to my north have faded into the snow.

Solid dusting.

[EHoffman]

Radar really looks fantastic

[WeatherGeek2025]

final final snowmap

[clskinsfan]

Oh Baby. Time to stack the the flakes!!!

[Nomz]

Good rates now in DC

[stormtracker]

7 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

Trust me, I'm kind of weirded out!

I’m such a dc native that i know where that is. 

[stormtracker]

4 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

Radar really looks fantastic

It does.  Good times regardless of what may happen. Patio covered 

[dailylurker]

I set my alarm for 1am. I looked outside and it reminded me of being a kid. The hard surfaces are all white and it's snowing steady. LFG!

[balltermen]

5z HRRR still has a 14z flip time for DCA. 

[Nomz]

I might just cut the lights and throw on some music and pretend I don't have two exams this week and a shitton of work to do

[stormtracker]

Just now, balltermen said:

5z HRRR still has a 14z flip time for DCA. 

I await our sleet overlords 

[EHoffman]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It does.  Good times regardless of what may happen. Patio covered 

I'm even kinda excited to see us rip sleet at 22 degrees tomorrow.  Hopefully on top of 6+

[mitchnick]

What sux as I look at the Euro snowfall map is how so very close we came to an area wide 15-20" event. These chances are so few and far between, and to come so close leaves a bad taste in my mouth despite it being a decent event, for which I'm not complaining. 

[winter_warlock]

11 minutes ago, Nomz said:

Apple Weather still has 12-15. Does anyone know what model they could possibly be pulling from?

The Spire? Or Cras? 

[MN Transplant]

Watching the temp/DP come together at 13 degrees is much more fun than 34.

[balltermen]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

What sux as I look at the Euro snowfall map is how so very close we came to an area wide 15-20" event. These chances are so few and far between, and to come so close leaves a bad taste in my mouth despite it being a decent event, for which I'm not complaining. 

pending the final result, it doesn't feel like a rug pull to me.  Maybe in Feb or March we'll get a stronger STJ and get something that's modeled better.