January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!

[baltosquid]

Just now, Nomz said:

AIFS is fine though. Who knows.

Yeah. And with the 00z euro, the last shred of modeling to consider unless you're agonizing over HRRR runs is done. Nothing left to look at but the radar. We'll either see the juice coming to beat down the warm nose, or we won't.

[Brianonymous]

Definitely picked up a bit here.. The flakes are so wee that its actually hard to tell. My cars are starting to cave, but the road seems ok at the moment. Probably not for long.

Down to 17F

[IUsedToHateCold]

16.2/5.4. SN- (pixie dust flakes). Road has already caved. Perfection.

[psuhoffman]

Final Thoughts, these totals include sleet accumulation.  Things really started to tighten up the snow/ice gradient the last 24 hours.  I see a path for this to bust low...if we do have really heavy precip in the morning between 10-16Z like the RGEM/Euro/GFS/UK show 

 

[ErinInTheSky]

I’ve been in many snow holes but this one is pretty funny.

[SnowenOutThere]

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Final Thoughts, these totals include sleet accumulation.  Things really started to tighten up the snow/ice gradient the last 24 hours.  I see a path for this to bust low...if we do have really heavy precip in the morning between 10-16Z like the RGEM/Euro/GFS/UK show 

 

Psu man I love ya but posting a forecast when Im already at 1.7 of my 2-4 inch total is a pretty late call. 

[SnowenOutThere]

6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

1.6 OTG with the mix line 50 miles south of me. It’s an extraordinary pretty snow but makes me wish we could’ve gotten more. That said, I think the nams may verify as they kept me from 1-3 of snow and I doubt I can pickup over 2 inches before I get sleeted. 

Did the math and the mixing line is moving north at 20 miles an hour which gives me 2-3 hours before the flip. My goal is to make it to 4 inches of snow.

[clskinsfan]

Man. I am just trying to warm up. Insane how cold it is out there. 

[Nomz]

4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Final Thoughts, these totals include sleet accumulation.  Things really started to tighten up the snow/ice gradient the last 24 hours.  I see a path for this to bust low...if we do have really heavy precip in the morning between 10-16Z like the RGEM/Euro/GFS/UK show 

 

Apple Weather users are going to be very disappointed

[IUsedToHateCold]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Did the math and the mixing line is moving north at 20 miles an hour which gives me 2-3 hours before the flip. My goal is to make it to 4 inches of snow.

That's great news. So I don't flip until 1 PM tomorrow? (I'm about 240 miles from the mix line), or do you think it will pick up as the primary drives north? 

[Mrs.J]

6 minutes ago, Brianonymous said:

Definitely picked up a bit here.. The flakes are so wee that its actually hard to tell. My cars are starting to cave, but the road seems ok at the moment. Probably not for long.

Down to 17F

Is that an EV6…

As for snow for me radar shows something but am not seeing anything yet. Sky definitely has that snow bright look though. 

[paulythegun]

Roads not fully caving yet in DC. Some sort of new mutant salt

[CatoctinRN]

Light snow in Westminster 

[Brianonymous]

1 minute ago, Mrs.J said:

Is that an EV6…

Yup! GTLine

Good eye

[baltosquid]

Light tiny flakes in Canton. Now to sleep and see how bad the sleet line looks/try to catch some heavier stuff in the morning.

[SnowenOutThere]

3 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said:

That's great news. So I don't flip until 1 PM tomorrow? (I'm about 240 miles from the mix line), or do you think it will pick up as the primary drives north? 

It looks like my old post is already inaccurate as it’s now jumping north far faster. I give myself maybe an hour or two max now. What a disappointment.  

[Wxtrix]

finally snowing. good grief. road out front covered.

[konksw]

3 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

Roads not fully caving yet in DC. Some sort of new mutant salt

You must be looking at different roads than me. 

[EB89]

Rate picking up nicely

[baltosquid]

Actually just picked up to proper light snow. Flake size still tiny but glad it didn’t  take long to move on from the teaser pixie stuff. NOW for bed.

[psuhoffman]

7 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Psu man I love ya but posting a forecast when Im already at 1.7 of my 2-4 inch total is a pretty late call. 

I posted a forecast 2 days ago...it's likely going to bust a little high...this was just a last minute update on what I am thinking...I won't grade this.  And it hasn't started for me yet lol 

[Grothar of Herndon]

Moderate SN very fine flakes

17/9

Herndon VA

[Mrs.J]

1 minute ago, Brianonymous said:

Yup! GTLine

Good eye

I have one. The Wind model. Recognized the distinct rear end and roof of the hatch. 

And as for snow it has started here. Had to go to the main level and look out front. 

[Mordecai]

Moderate SN, roads/sidewalks caved

15/9

[konksw]

15 degrees in DC with moderate snow

[mikeg0305]

Light snow in Parkton.

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, psuhoffman said:

I posted a forecast 2 days ago...it's likely going to bust a little high...this was just a last minute update on what I am thinking...I won't grade this.  And it hasn't started for me yet lol 

I know, just thought it was somewhat funny. On the opposite end of the spectrum apparently freezing rain has advanced faster in NC than forecasted. Hate to see what that may mean for myself and the other central VA posters... 

[scope1]

https://imgur.com/a/T9VvDZK

[clskinsfan]

Alright. Light snow and 13 degrees. THIRTEEN degrees. Shit is insane ya'll

[stormtracker]

Nice coating on everything up here in NWDC.  Walk was nice.  Snow stuck immediately.  Just not used to this...snow falling and sticking