Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,645
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    otree38
    Newest Member
    otree38
    Joined

Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs


BooneWX
 Share

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

WRAL had the triangle in the “crippling” category yesterday 

based on all guidance you, as a storm tracker here on this forum, saw following this storm, i think that word was valid. I don't know why you're trying to act like all of us here weren't worried about a dangerous ice storm.

  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think there’s really unrealistic expectations of mets. I’ll say it again. Weather is always changing and lately it’s wonky. The mets do there best to keep us informed based on the models the best they can. They allllll did so. Daily. Heck, hourly. They let us know about the changes. It changes. Just be glad it’s not .5 or more here. Some people are messed up out west and again, this isn’t over. If we get .25 or close it we could still lose power. All we can do is chill. The whole “bust” thing irritates me. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said:

based on all guidance you, as a storm tracker here on this forum, saw following this storm, i think that word was valid. I don't know why you're trying to act like all of us here weren't worried about a dangerous ice storm.

Everyone was, I’m not saying it’s bad. But two days ago model QPF trended way down and most dismissed it. Not calling anyone out but it is what it is.

That being said, this is awesome sledding. Best street sledding since I’ve lived in my current house (2018)

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Everyone was, I’m not saying it’s bad. But two days ago model QPF trended way down and most dismissed it. Not calling anyone out but it is what it is.

That being said, this is awesome sledding. Best street sledding since I’ve lived in my current house (2018)

The QPF thing is upsetting because we could have easily had 3-4" of sleet had we gotten the moisture. Instead the heavy stuff waits until we flip to ZR

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Regan said:

That’s subjective too. People in the triangle could lose power for a number of reasons. Thankfully it won’t be because of .5-.8 inches of ice. But it won’t stop trees that are weak from being a problem. Some people will suffer from this even if you don’t. I don’t see this as a forecasting bust. Weather is always changing and thy have kept us informed. Chill. 

Charlotte has a much bigger population than Raleigh, not sure why Raliegh/RDU area is over represented on this forum.

Think Charlotte area is going to have it quite a bit worse after this is all said and done due to where Raliegh area sits and the way the front is coming across 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

More of an impossible forecast than a bust.  Nobody has ever seen CAD conditions like this as far as my 58 years can recall.  So there aren't any analogs to model against that says "historic CAD = 12 hour delay in precip arriving".  This is 100% an evolving situation and highly dependent upon local conditions including terrain / altitude.  I think the whole forum deserves a pass on this one.

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Everyone was, I’m not saying it’s bad. But two days ago model QPF trended way down and most dismissed it. Not calling anyone out but it is what it is.

That being said, this is awesome sledding. Best street sledding since I’ve lived in my current house (2018)

Heck yeah with sledding.  I am late 50s and I am going.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Charlotte has a much bigger population than Raleigh, not sure why Raliegh/RDU area is over represented on this forum.
Think Charlotte area is going to have it quite a bit worse after this is all said and done due to where Raliegh area sits and the way the front is coming across 

Wake County has a larger population than Mecklenburg and Durham + Raleigh MSAs are bigger. Hope this helps.


.
  • Disagree 1
  • clap 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said:

More of an impossible forecast than a bust.  Nobody has ever seen CAD conditions like this as far as my 58 years can recall.  So there aren't any analogs to model against that says "historic CAD = 12 hour delay in precip arriving".  This is 100% an evolving situation and highly dependent upon local conditions including terrain / altitude.  I think the whole forum deserves a pass on this one.

The warm nose on this storm has to be historical. For Charlotte to be at 18 degrees this morning and top of Mt. Mitchell at 40 is very wild.

 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, StantonParkHoya said:


Wake County has a larger population than Mecklenburg and Durham + Raleigh MSAs are bigger. Hope this helps.


.

Wrong. Charlotte metro population is 2.9 million. RDU metro population doesn't come close to that (1.5 million).

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, sarcean said:

Charlotte has a much bigger population than Raleigh, not sure why Raliegh/RDU area is over represented on this forum.

Think Charlotte area is going to have it quite a bit worse after this is all said and done due to where Raliegh area sits and the way the front is coming across 

It would be great to have more Charlotte posters

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

We're going to get another 1/2" of sleet here in the triad before this flips to ZR later today.  It is still raining sleet here.

Perhaps, although we seem to be entering the dry slot now. May backfill a bit, but I think by 12-1pm precip will be very light until the backside band swings through. Maybe we get some sleet in that band as well (let's hope so)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

More of an impossible forecast than a bust.  Nobody has ever seen CAD conditions like this as far as my 58 years can recall.  So there aren't any analogs to model against that says "historic CAD = 12 hour delay in precip arriving".  This is 100% an evolving situation and highly dependent upon local conditions including terrain / altitude.  I think the whole forum deserves a pass on this one.

Spent half my life in this region and I haven't seen a CAD event of this magnitude- the delay was probably the biggest issue...but you are correct- I would have some grace for everyone on this storm, including the local news mets- how this played out to current has been downright bizarre; and it isn't over

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Drummer said:

Lake Wylie. 0.25-0.5in of sleet, after an initial round of very light freezing rain after midnight. Waiting on the bigger round but kids and dog are enjoying. ac9d9bafb3e8c6a0bc5a039920dd1bba.jpg


.

Live on Lake Wylie myself in Belmont, but good to see someone else on this forum there 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Yesterday's NAM was about 10 degrees too warm to current temp

Ya it was a little on the warm side, which is weird for the NAM (usually too cold); however, it did nail down the precip fields and p-type really well, especially in Upstate SC

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I  was moved up to northern VA for fear of the ice at home and losing power by my job. I can say in Sterling, VA we have 1/2 mile vis in sleet now and that follows about 5 inches of snow. 

  • Like 4
  • Sad 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, sarcean said:

Charlotte has a much bigger population than Raleigh, not sure why Raliegh/RDU area is over represented on this forum.

Think Charlotte area is going to have it quite a bit worse after this is all said and done due to where Raliegh area sits and the way the front is coming across 

I think because a lot of us live here. Yeah. West of here will probably see worse and has. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...