Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres

[bncho]

About the Euro...

I can say that it is wetter than 18z for most areas. I do not know about the thermals.

[NorthArlington101]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

That's probably like 12" of snow in DC with the ratios

I think it struggles to mix out the sleet…. But more wintry precip all the same

[pazzo83]

17/-9

[bncho]

0z Euro

hr 35 has 4" of snow on the ground for DC. we lose thermals at hr 41, or noon. 6 more hours of snow to make it count.

[NorthArlington101]

[bncho]

Better than 18z for most areas!

[Solution Man]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS like to me

[bncho]

Incredible thump on the Euro.

[NorthArlington101]

GFS like to me

Yeah lowkey folded to the GFS. Just want the NAM on board

[Amped]

Euro finally brings the sauce.

[konksw]

So the Euro folded to the GFS after all the shit the GFS took. 

[Solution Man]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Yeah lowkey folded to the GFS. Just want the NAM on board

Will fight with the Nam in the morning, night

[balltermen]

30 minutes ago, Ji said:

weird. its 10:1 map was more snow than the weenie ratio map

the snow maps aren't really useful for this storm.  figure out how much liquid you think you'll get as snow.  apply a ratio (i think 13:1 for you).  And make a forecast.  

I'll probably rip and read Euro QPF at 12z tomorrow.  Tweak a little.  It's really good that the Euro is King at QPF.  Cause it's super wet.  

[jayyy]

… euro drops a foot in Baltimore city and 15 here!? Interesting!

[WVsnowlover]

[IUsedToHateCold]

A Euro cave to the GFS is a spectacular way to end the day. 

Also, down to 17.2/-8.9 here... as we all know this cold is real. 

Tomorrow is it - let's reel it in. 

[bncho]

@stormtracker when he sees that 0z Euro run:

[jayyy]

What do you make of this euro run [mention=2304]psuhoffman[/mention]

Wetter / thumpier pre flip?

[psuhoffman]

[balltermen]

even if the euro were to flip in immediate DC metro at 15z Sunday.  That's around 8-9" of snow followed by 3" sleet.  This is a truly sick run. 

[nj2va]

That Euro run is a thing of beauty for DC.  Soundings suggest DC holds on until about 17z Sunday - and about 0.9” QPF has fallen already.  LFG

[jayyy]

That Euro run is a thing of beauty for DC.  Soundings suggest DC holds on until about 17z Sunday - and about 0.9” QPF has fallen already.  LFG

For the love of god, be right.

[overcautionisbad]

Euro 0z ticked north for anyone south

[jayyy]

Best run we’ve had from a varsity model in 48 hours and everyone’s asleep lol. Here’s to hoping the euro is correct

[yohan]

When almost perfect scenario happens, something always screws the pooch to break records of Snowmeggdon or SnowZilla. This event will not be those unfortunately it looks like it so far. No banter, here at least we get decent snow finally!!

[Brianonymous]

Just touched 18f here

[ErinInTheSky]

So I know the Euro has been struggling/struggles with sleet/zr. I notice on the latest run, its showing 0.8" zr. Which is obviously not the case. I guess my question is, what is that likely going to be, sleet? and how much would 0.8" zr translate to sleet?

[pazzo83]

16/-11 - this might be the lowest dewpoint I've recorded at my station

[nj2va]

Latest map

[yoda]

18 degrees WC 0 and DP -13 at DC at 1 am... wow