mitchnick Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, goodwidp said: Latest map from LWX (12:41 am). The red-shaded 18"+ area is starting to creep into the favored N/W zones. Don't buy that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, goodwidp said: Latest map from LWX (12:41 am). The red-shaded 18"+ area is starting to creep into the favored N/W zones. I don't know what they're smoking, but I'm not mad at it, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodwidp Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Ha. They just released an updated one at 1:17am that is a tad more conservative. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, goodwidp said: Ha. They just released an updated one at 1:17am that is a tad more conservative. It's called: Euro They should have waited, but at least they corrected it quickly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, goodwidp said: Ha. They just released an updated one at 1:17am that is a tad more conservative. Weird - that looks more like what they've had all along. Did someone let the intern log into the map posting computer and he went rogue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, mitchnick said: It's called: Euro They should have waited, but at least they corrected it quickly. I don't think LWX is updating their maps back and forth so dramatically based on individual GFS and Euro runs. Nothing explains that map with the more robust totals...it's weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: Weird - that looks more like what they've had all along. Did someone let the intern log into the map posting computer and he went rogue? The first graphic is the whole event. The one with a little less is through 7pm Sunday. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodwidp Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I'm just now noticing that the two maps have different titles ("Event Total Snowfall Accumulation" vs "Expected Snowfall: Official NWS Forecast") so perhaps they're using separate data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Frankly, there's plenty of time for this to trend, one way or the other. Admittedly, it's sad to see how, in general terms, it's turning into an old fashioned "Niña north" event. For that reason, odds favor a slow trend north imho. Maybe this one will be different. I hope. Either way, I'm done for the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The more agressive map is the one in the “Local Winter Key Messages” while the other one is the autogenerated “Day 0-3 Snow and Range of Possibilities.” Usually the Key Messages one is more conservative and more accurate though, so I’m not sure what’s going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Hey guys, its only 30 more pages before we start up the January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage Thread 3. Let's do this! Let's will this one home! We got this! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 17 minutes ago, goodwidp said: Ha. They just released an updated one at 1:17am that is a tad more conservative. Why is it changing every 10 minutes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, Amped said: Why is it changing every 10 minutes? Their meteorologists are probably exhausted, too. Or, someone may have hacked into the computers there and are about to change the forecast to five feet of snow for the entire sub....... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Amped said: Why is it changing every 10 minutes? Two different maps, one through 7pm Sunday and one through 7am Monday 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 2 minutes ago, Amped said: Why is it changing every 10 minutes? Like I said, the “Expected Total: Official NWS Forecast” map is 100% computer generated. I think it runs every 10 min, iirc it was :02, :12 up in NWS BOX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 17 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: The first graphic is the whole event. The one with a little less is through 7pm Sunday. Which means the delta between the two is how much they expect from 00z - 12z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 FWIW LWX is also predicted a not-insignificant amount of ice accretion for the metros-SE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 7 minutes ago, Jebman said: Their meteorologists are probably exhausted, too. Or, someone may have hacked into the computers there and are about to change the forecast to five feet of snow for the entire sub....... Jeb....what did you do???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Jeb....what did you do???? shhhhhhhhhh!!!!!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 5 minutes ago, Nomz said: Like I said, the “Expected Total: Official NWS Forecast” map is 100% computer generated. I think it runs every 10 min, iirc it was :02, :12 up in NWS BOX. That's absurd. Computer generated is fine but every 10 minutes? Gonna confuse people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 9 minutes ago, MDsnowPRO said: Two different maps, one through 7pm Sunday and one through 7am Monday also now one 2 models show it snowing in north md and south pa till like early afternoon mon a lot longer then before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 WB 6Z NBM Para 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 WB 6Z 3K NAM 1pm Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 WB 6Z 3K NAM HR 54 compared to 0Z HR 60 is colder. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z 3K NAM HR 54 compared to 0Z HR 60 Almost to a useful range and it improved each run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, TSSN+ said: Almost to a useful range and it improved each run. WB 3K NAM 850 comp. 6Z to 0Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Icon is almost gfs like that run. Colder and snowier. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Icon is almost gfs like that run. Colder and snowier. Nice tick south compared to 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Damn, I needed that sleep. In reading seems like it’s a drift towards GFS, and models are finally pickup on the artic fronts strength. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 RGEM is nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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