40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah, the biggest reason this is higher end despite being a SWFE is the airmass and amount of moisture involved. You try and rip that type of gulf moisture up over the top of an arctic airmass this cold, you're going to get fireworks....and it's also kind of an ideal angle with the broad trough...so the duration is decent for a SWFE....instead of like 6 hours and out, we're more like 10-12 hours before the upper midlevels start to dryslot. You can also throw in some local enhancers with this airmass like OES and a CF....the CF helped you in a system like 12/16/07 and it might help you again. So we could easily see widespread 10-16/12-18 from that. I think a lot of the 20"+ talk is overhyped at the moment, especially since Monday is looking less onshore flow if this ticks north....but there is still the chance someone could grab 20 if we trend that Monday position a bit further south and prolong onshore flow. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 13 minutes ago, Hoth said: A fairly ordinary storm? Down here, 10-16” has been around our seasonal total for like 3 of the last six years. This is phenomenal! I’m not saying it won’t be good, but most of us have seen a dozen or more bigger events in our lives. Im glad you are going to get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 EPS bumping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Look where the mid level low is before it tries to redvelop. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The first portion is. Aren't they all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Aren't they all. No, a pure coastal either redevelops while the primary is further south, or simply develops offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: EPS bumping up Easterly inflow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Hmmmm. Maybe that iPhone Weather app wasn’t so terrible. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: EPS bumping up Wow...gets an inch up to at least KCON, maybe Dendrite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: EPS bumping up That’s solid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Look where the mid level low is before it tries to redvelop. The easterly flow will stack it up in the Berks. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Look where the mid level low is before it tries to redvelop. what's the bottom map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, dryslot said: The easterly flow will stack it up in the Berks. Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I’m not saying it won’t be good, but most of us have seen a dozen or more bigger events in our lives. Im glad you are going to get crushed. This will feel like Nemo after the last six years. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, ineedsnow said: what's the bottom map? 850 fronto. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills. we can hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, a pure coastal either redevelops while the primary is further south, or simply develops offshore. It's definitely a defined circulation that organized in southern Mexico induced by another upper air circulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Yeah people trying to fit this into a normal SWFE dynamic are just wrong, IMO. This has upside many of these do not have, as has already been mentioned. Even if the coastal portion ends up meh, Easter SNE could still add a few inches of fluff as everything moves east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills. Morch storm 2018. 22” here. All East inflow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Morch storm 2018. 22” here. All East inflow 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: what's the bottom map? Over my fanny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills. 20” in Savoy and 10” in N Adams, literally 10 minute drive but world of difference. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 2013 LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster Beer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: we can hope! You literally live in one of the snowiest places in SNE. You don’t have to hope. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster I'm in awe of Wills memory actually. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, dryslot said: I'm in awe of Wills memory actually. I am too . It’s amazing . Almost eerie. I can remember events , amounts but can be off by 10 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I am too . It’s amazing . Almost eerie. I can remember events , amounts but can be off by 10 years Yup, CRS disease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster We call it Kevmentia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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