“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah, the biggest reason this is higher end despite being a SWFE is the airmass and amount of moisture involved. You try and rip that type of gulf moisture up over the top of an arctic airmass this cold, you're going to get fireworks....and it's also kind of an ideal angle with the broad trough...so the duration is decent for a SWFE....instead of like 6 hours and out, we're more like 10-12 hours before the upper midlevels start to dryslot. You can also throw in some local enhancers with this airmass like OES and a CF....the CF helped you in a system like 12/16/07 and it might help you again. So we could easily see widespread 10-16/12-18 from that. 

 

I think a lot of the 20"+ talk is overhyped at the moment, especially since Monday is looking less onshore flow if this ticks north....but there is still the chance someone could grab 20 if we trend that Monday position a bit further south and prolong onshore flow.

Exactly.

[HoarfrostHubb]

13 minutes ago, Hoth said:

A fairly ordinary storm? Down here, 10-16” has been around our seasonal total for like 3 of the last six years. This is phenomenal!

I’m not saying it won’t be good, but most of us have seen a dozen or more bigger events in our lives.  
Im glad you are going to get crushed.  

[ineedsnow]

EPS bumping up

[metagraphica]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Look where the mid level low is before it tries to redvelop.

 

[ineedsnow]

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The first portion is. 

Aren't they all. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Aren't they all. 

No, a pure coastal either redevelops while the primary is further south, or simply develops offshore.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

EPS bumping up

Easterly inflow 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Hmmmm.  Maybe that iPhone Weather app wasn’t so terrible. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

EPS bumping up

Wow...gets an inch up to at least KCON, maybe Dendrite.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

EPS bumping up

That’s solid! 

[dryslot]

12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Look where the mid level low is before it tries to redvelop.

The easterly flow will stack it up in the Berks.

[ineedsnow]

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Look where the mid level low is before it tries to redvelop.

what's the bottom map?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

The easterly flow will stack it up in the Berks.

Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills.

[Hoth]

12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I’m not saying it won’t be good, but most of us have seen a dozen or more bigger events in our lives.  
Im glad you are going to get crushed.  

This will feel like Nemo after the last six years. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

what's the bottom map?

850 fronto.

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills.

we can hope! 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No, a pure coastal either redevelops while the primary is further south, or simply develops offshore.

It's definitely a defined circulation that organized in southern Mexico induced by another upper air circulation 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Yeah people trying to fit this into a normal SWFE dynamic are just wrong, IMO. This has upside many of these do not have, as has already been mentioned.

Even if the coastal portion ends up meh, Easter SNE could still add a few inches of fluff as everything moves east.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills.

Morch storm 2018. 22” here. All East inflow 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Morch storm 2018. 22” here. All East inflow 

2013

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

what's the bottom map?

Over my fanny

[HIPPYVALLEY]

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yup, east slopes, and ORH hills.

20” in Savoy and 10” in N Adams, literally 10 minute drive but world of difference. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

2013

LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster 

Beer

[HIPPYVALLEY]

10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

we can hope! 

You literally live in one of the snowiest places in SNE. You don’t have to hope. 

[dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster 

I'm in awe of Wills memory actually.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, dryslot said:

I'm in awe of Wills memory actually.

I am too . It’s amazing . Almost eerie. I can remember events , amounts but can be off by 10 years 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I am too . It’s amazing . Almost eerie. I can remember events , amounts but can be off by 10 years 

Yup, CRS disease.

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

LMAO. My recollection of dates is a disaster 

We call it Kevmentia