1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, MI and OH

[Brian D]

2 hours ago, Stevo6899 said:

It was weird. Last night I was driving home and it was still 70 out. I had the windows down and it felt chilly. Im like wtf is happening. Normally even if its 50 im still warm down here. Im turning into a true Floridian. I think toledo may jackpot with this. They will be near the heavier precip and may max out with the ratios.

My Dr. told me once that N folks are a hearty bunch. Our bodies are tuned to rapid changes, so we adjust quickly. After this cold, 30 will feel like t-shirt wx. While 30 in the Fall warrants a winter coat. 

[Malacka11]

12 minutes ago, roardog said:

The posters just wishing for a big storm still have lots of time left. It’s only January.

I instinctively 100d you and I still agree but selfishly there's only about a month of Malacka Winter™ left and about half of that is apparently fixing to be CAD unironically now...

Not complaining but it do be like that

[Harry Perry]

It’s not over til it’s over. 

[mimillman]

GFS says congrats Baton Rouge next weekend lol 

[ILSNOW]

From our friends at BAM Weather (I know many dont care for them)

Upon deep dives hi-res US models are overdoing the strength of the high pressure in the northern plains. It stems from the GFS as these hi-res models are all inner nested versions of the GFS. This can make all the difference in the world for these fringe locations of snow/sleet/ice/rain! Summed up? ECMWF/GDPS/UKMET is the answer.

Thoughts??

[Baum]

1 minute ago, ILSNOW said:

From our friends at BAM Weather (I know many dont care for them)

Upon deep dives hi-res US models are overdoing the strength of the high pressure in the northern plains. It stems from the GFS as these hi-res models are all inner nested versions of the GFS. This can make all the difference in the world for these fringe locations of snow/sleet/ice/rain! Summed up? ECMWF/GDPS/UKMET is the answer.

Thoughts??

We have a reason #9 to discount a model run:

9. If all else fails pull the BAM weather lever.

[Chicago Storm]

4 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

From our friends at BAM Weather (I know many dont care for them)

Upon deep dives hi-res US models are overdoing the strength of the high pressure in the northern plains. It stems from the GFS as these hi-res models are all inner nested versions of the GFS. This can make all the difference in the world for these fringe locations of snow/sleet/ice/rain! Summed up? ECMWF/GDPS/UKMET is the answer.

Thoughts??

that idea is already a bust, since all other guidance caved to the gfs.

[MidwestChaser]

5 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

From our friends at BAM Weather (I know many dont care for them)

Upon deep dives hi-res US models are overdoing the strength of the high pressure in the northern plains. It stems from the GFS as these hi-res models are all inner nested versions of the GFS. This can make all the difference in the world for these fringe locations of snow/sleet/ice/rain! Summed up? ECMWF/GDPS/UKMET is the answer.

Thoughts??

 

[DocATL]

Maybe getting an inch was an overreach on my part. I had a bad feeling the GFS was right on this one. Oh well...on to Fabulous February.

[ILSNOW]

7 minutes ago, Baum said:

We have a reason #9 to discount a model run:

9. If all else fails pull the BAM weather lever.

Desperate holding out for 3-4 lake induced flakes on Sunday.

[Chicago916]

12 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

From our friends at BAM Weather (I know many dont care for them)

Upon deep dives hi-res US models are overdoing the strength of the high pressure in the northern plains. It stems from the GFS as these hi-res models are all inner nested versions of the GFS. This can make all the difference in the world for these fringe locations of snow/sleet/ice/rain! Summed up? ECMWF/GDPS/UKMET is the answer.

Thoughts??

Our friends? Idts.

[mimillman]

7 minutes ago, DocATL said:

Maybe getting an inch was an overreach on my part. I had a bad feeling the GFS was right on this one. Oh well...on to Fabulous February.

Torch 

[Chicago Storm]

1 minute ago, mimillman said:

Torch 

i have some bad news.