January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential

[RedSky]

Now I have to tell family members forget about 15" snow and they won't believe it lol

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

18 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I went to 4 different spots last night and couldn't find any. Ended up settling for pool salt at wal-mart(it does the same thing, just not as concentrated). 20 lb bag for like 9 bucks

 

19 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said:

Hear there is a salt shortage this go round to at least in honeybrook/coatesville area. 

You guys are weather ppl. How do you not have ice melt going into winter or at least 5 days ago seeing this on guidance, whether real or mirage?

Stocked up on ice melt 3 weeks ago. And for good measure, hit the grocery store Monday. Scrambling last minute is for the birds. Rookies 

[zenmsav6810]

3 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Now I have to tell family members forget about 15" snow and they won't believe it lol

 

I still think NW might eek out 12"-15"

 

[The Iceman]

 

 

 

EPS still looking good...

[zenmsav6810]

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

 

You guys are weather ppl. How do you not have ice melt going into winter or at least 5 days ago seeing this on guidance, whether real or mirage?

Stocked up on ice melt 3 weeks ago. And for good measure, hit the grocery store Monday. Scrambling last minute is for the birds. Rookies 

I'm fine personally. Its work and municipalities that im worried about. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

4 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Now I have to tell family members forget about 15" snow and they won't believe it lol

 

Whereas my crew is saying I was the only one mentioning mix Tuesday pm and giving premature props for a conservative outlook. On the other hand, if this does trend colder/snowier, then Im a clown 

[MJO812]

[Ralph Wiggum]

2 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

 

 

 

EPS still looking good...

Wow!

[zenmsav6810]

Dr. No says "yes, almost certainly an secs+"

[The Iceman]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

@Ralph Wiggum Mt holly says conservative calls are for squares! 

[Birds~69]

13 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

My O' my how the mood has changed in here after one run...

 

12 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Eh ZR is coming the question is how much 

 

Fine by me. Here's my post the other day. And I even said an extra Hail Mary last night before bed....

 

[geeter1]

30 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

In northern Lehigh county, drifting is  a huge deal. Urbanized areas,  basically no issue. Many of the posters don ot even know where Lowhill Township is in Lehigh County. South mountain  topgraphically is the cutoff for sleet in this storm

 

I am in open field country in Lehigh County, in North Whitehall Township, and yes we get a lot of drifting up here. Good luck to all with the impending storm !!!

[Chadzachadam]

I'm conflicted because warm noses are always under-modeled but the NAM is always over-amped. at this point I'll just forget watching individual models and roll with the NWS forecast. sign me up for 13.5" lol

[Newman]

I would really not be worrying at all about freezing rain in this system, outside of some freezing drizzle as the storm departs and we get the dry slot. When you look at the soundings, there's a barely above freezing warm nose at 750-700mb. Sleet will be the concern if we flip. I think some of the website model algorithms are off.

[dizzy9479]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ

145 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

 

DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ016>019-021>025-027-PAZ070-071-101-

102-104-231100-

/O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T1800Z/

New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-Queen

Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern

Burlington-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-

Coastal Atlantic-Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-

Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery-

Including the cities of Lansdale, Wharton State Forest, West

Chester, Cape May Court House, Norristown, Moorestown, Camden,

Mount Holly, Oxford, Georgetown, Ocean City, Philadelphia,

Millville, Rehoboth Beach, Pennsville, Cherry Hill, Wilmington,

Chestertown, Atlantic City, Easton, Honey Brook, Dover,

Centreville, Kennett Square, Denton, Media, Glassboro, and

Hammonton

145 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING 

THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow with sleet and freezing rain possible. Total 

  snow accumulations between 11 and 15 inches and ice accumulations 

  up to two tenths of an inch possible.

 

* WHERE...Portions of Delaware, northeast Maryland, southern New 

  Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania.

 

* WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday afternoon.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 

  hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

 

&&

 

$$

 

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-020-026-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-106-231100-

/O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0001.260125T0600Z-260126T1800Z/

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western

Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-Carbon-

Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-

Lower Bucks-

Including the cities of Somerville, Chalfont, Freehold, Newton,

Washington, Stroudsburg, Reading, Jackson, Trenton, Perkasie, Jim

Thorpe, Pottstown, Long Beach Island, Allentown, Sandy Hook,

Easton, Morrisville, Bethlehem, New Brunswick, Doylestown,

Morristown, Collegeville, and Flemington

145 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 

THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow with mixed precipitation possible. Total snow 

  accumulations between 12 and 16 inches and ice accumulations 

  around one tenth of an inch possible.

 

* WHERE...Portions of northern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania.

 

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon.

 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The 

  hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

 

&&

 

$$

[Birds~69]

^That's a long ass duration storm... 

[Lucy Pull]

2 minutes ago, Newman said:

I would really not be worrying at all about freezing rain in this system, outside of some freezing drizzle as the storm departs and we get the dry slot. When you look at the soundings, there's a barely above freezing warm nose at 750-700mb. Sleet will be the concern if we flip. I think some of the website model algorithms are off.

Could this be a case where you flip between snow and sleet depending on how heavy precipitation is? Or once you go to sleet that’s it?

[JTA66]

The weenie in me wants 20+ inches.

 

The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4". 

[ChescoWx]

33 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Looking at some of the soundings, I just really question that would be freezing rain honestly. I don't see it. Temps are like 18-19F for most of the area and even the warmest levels are just barely above 0c,they aren't scorching. Looks more like sleet in my opinion.

Truth! 

[ChescoWx]

33 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

It did. Temps in the teens, steady/heavy FZ and it seemed like for hours.

I remember it well! I was in KOP at the time....21 degrees with heavy ZR

[Birds~69]

1 minute ago, JTA66 said:

The weenie in me wants 20+ inches.

 

The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4". 

This will be the light/easy stuff unless sleet/FZ covers. Much more fun and enjoyable. May even be able to partake in a couple while shoveling... 

[Newman]

4 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said:

Could this be a case where you flip between snow and sleet depending on how heavy precipitation is? Or once you go to sleet that’s it?

Absolutely, if we get heavy enough precip we could see that sleet line crash south at times. Though it depends on how potent that warm nose really is. Will be very interesting watching correlation coefficient radar for that Sunday.

[tcutter]

7 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

The weenie in me wants 20+ inches.

 

The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4". 

Be a weenie this weekend 

[Duca892]

MT. Holly still pretty aggressive in their update. 

[The Iceman]

Just now, Duca892 said:

MT. Holly still pretty aggressive in their update. 

In the pro's we trust! 

[jrodd321]

5 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

In the pro's we trust! 

Dude do you have any idea what they are smoking? Like I’ll take it but do they just think we snow ourselves out before mix at very end? They 14” line down to South Jersey is just comical lol and these are the “pros”

[BlueDXer75]

15 minutes ago, Newman said:

Absolutely, if we get heavy enough precip we could see that sleet line crash south at times. Though it depends on how potent that warm nose really is. Will be very interesting watching correlation coefficient radar for that Sunday.

What is your best guess for snow accumulations for Berks County? Do you expect it to flip to sleet at all? Sorry if I missed a recent post about it

[jimmosk]

How hard were "the pros" hit by DOGE cuts last year?

[MsHeatMiser]

22 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

I remember it well! I was in KOP at the time....21 degrees with heavy ZR

That was a glorious winter to be a Penn State main campus student. State College had their seasonal snow record that year. The rain snow line seemed to set up around Harrisburg for many events. 

[RedSky]

42 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

^That's a long ass duration storm... 

Keep in mind the ECM punches the dry slot through roughly midnight Monday morning

Why does it feel we ALWAYS say this storm is ending so fast