RedSky Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Now I have to tell family members forget about 15" snow and they won't believe it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 18 minutes ago, The Iceman said: I went to 4 different spots last night and couldn't find any. Ended up settling for pool salt at wal-mart(it does the same thing, just not as concentrated). 20 lb bag for like 9 bucks 19 minutes ago, zenmsav6810 said: Hear there is a salt shortage this go round to at least in honeybrook/coatesville area. You guys are weather ppl. How do you not have ice melt going into winter or at least 5 days ago seeing this on guidance, whether real or mirage? Stocked up on ice melt 3 weeks ago. And for good measure, hit the grocery store Monday. Scrambling last minute is for the birds. Rookies 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: Now I have to tell family members forget about 15" snow and they won't believe it lol I still think NW might eek out 12"-15" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago EPS still looking good... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: You guys are weather ppl. How do you not have ice melt going into winter or at least 5 days ago seeing this on guidance, whether real or mirage? Stocked up on ice melt 3 weeks ago. And for good measure, hit the grocery store Monday. Scrambling last minute is for the birds. Rookies I'm fine personally. Its work and municipalities that im worried about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Now I have to tell family members forget about 15" snow and they won't believe it lol Whereas my crew is saying I was the only one mentioning mix Tuesday pm and giving premature props for a conservative outlook. On the other hand, if this does trend colder/snowier, then Im a clown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: EPS still looking good... Wow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Dr. No says "yes, almost certainly an secs+" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: @Ralph Wiggum Mt holly says conservative calls are for squares! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 13 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: My O' my how the mood has changed in here after one run... 12 minutes ago, RedSky said: Eh ZR is coming the question is how much Fine by me. Here's my post the other day. And I even said an extra Hail Mary last night before bed.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 30 minutes ago, Albedoman said: In northern Lehigh county, drifting is a huge deal. Urbanized areas, basically no issue. Many of the posters don ot even know where Lowhill Township is in Lehigh County. South mountain topgraphically is the cutoff for sleet in this storm I am in open field country in Lehigh County, in North Whitehall Township, and yes we get a lot of drifting up here. Good luck to all with the impending storm !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chadzachadam Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I'm conflicted because warm noses are always under-modeled but the NAM is always over-amped. at this point I'll just forget watching individual models and roll with the NWS forecast. sign me up for 13.5" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I would really not be worrying at all about freezing rain in this system, outside of some freezing drizzle as the storm departs and we get the dry slot. When you look at the soundings, there's a barely above freezing warm nose at 750-700mb. Sleet will be the concern if we flip. I think some of the website model algorithms are off. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dizzy9479 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 145 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ016>019-021>025-027-PAZ070-071-101- 102-104-231100- /O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0001.260125T0000Z-260126T1800Z/ New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May- Coastal Atlantic-Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia- Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery- Including the cities of Lansdale, Wharton State Forest, West Chester, Cape May Court House, Norristown, Moorestown, Camden, Mount Holly, Oxford, Georgetown, Ocean City, Philadelphia, Millville, Rehoboth Beach, Pennsville, Cherry Hill, Wilmington, Chestertown, Atlantic City, Easton, Honey Brook, Dover, Centreville, Kennett Square, Denton, Media, Glassboro, and Hammonton 145 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow with sleet and freezing rain possible. Total snow accumulations between 11 and 15 inches and ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of Delaware, northeast Maryland, southern New Jersey, and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NJZ001-007>010-012>015-020-026-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-106-231100- /O.CON.KPHI.WS.A.0001.260125T0600Z-260126T1800Z/ Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-Carbon- Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks- Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Somerville, Chalfont, Freehold, Newton, Washington, Stroudsburg, Reading, Jackson, Trenton, Perkasie, Jim Thorpe, Pottstown, Long Beach Island, Allentown, Sandy Hook, Easton, Morrisville, Bethlehem, New Brunswick, Doylestown, Morristown, Collegeville, and Flemington 145 PM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow with mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 12 and 16 inches and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of northern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago ^That's a long ass duration storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucy Pull Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Newman said: I would really not be worrying at all about freezing rain in this system, outside of some freezing drizzle as the storm departs and we get the dry slot. When you look at the soundings, there's a barely above freezing warm nose at 750-700mb. Sleet will be the concern if we flip. I think some of the website model algorithms are off. Could this be a case where you flip between snow and sleet depending on how heavy precipitation is? Or once you go to sleet that’s it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The weenie in me wants 20+ inches. The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4". 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 33 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Looking at some of the soundings, I just really question that would be freezing rain honestly. I don't see it. Temps are like 18-19F for most of the area and even the warmest levels are just barely above 0c,they aren't scorching. Looks more like sleet in my opinion. Truth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 33 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: It did. Temps in the teens, steady/heavy FZ and it seemed like for hours. I remember it well! I was in KOP at the time....21 degrees with heavy ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, JTA66 said: The weenie in me wants 20+ inches. The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4". This will be the light/easy stuff unless sleet/FZ covers. Much more fun and enjoyable. May even be able to partake in a couple while shoveling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Lucy Pull said: Could this be a case where you flip between snow and sleet depending on how heavy precipitation is? Or once you go to sleet that’s it? Absolutely, if we get heavy enough precip we could see that sleet line crash south at times. Though it depends on how potent that warm nose really is. Will be very interesting watching correlation coefficient radar for that Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, JTA66 said: The weenie in me wants 20+ inches. The old man in me doesn't want to shovel more than 4". Be a weenie this weekend 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago MT. Holly still pretty aggressive in their update. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Duca892 said: MT. Holly still pretty aggressive in their update. In the pro's we trust! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, The Iceman said: In the pro's we trust! Dude do you have any idea what they are smoking? Like I’ll take it but do they just think we snow ourselves out before mix at very end? They 14” line down to South Jersey is just comical lol and these are the “pros” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 15 minutes ago, Newman said: Absolutely, if we get heavy enough precip we could see that sleet line crash south at times. Though it depends on how potent that warm nose really is. Will be very interesting watching correlation coefficient radar for that Sunday. What is your best guess for snow accumulations for Berks County? Do you expect it to flip to sleet at all? Sorry if I missed a recent post about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimmosk Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago How hard were "the pros" hit by DOGE cuts last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MsHeatMiser Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: I remember it well! I was in KOP at the time....21 degrees with heavy ZR That was a glorious winter to be a Penn State main campus student. State College had their seasonal snow record that year. The rain snow line seemed to set up around Harrisburg for many events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 42 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: ^That's a long ass duration storm... Keep in mind the ECM punches the dry slot through roughly midnight Monday morning Why does it feel we ALWAYS say this storm is ending so fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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