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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26


TriPol
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1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said:

Gfs ticked ever so slightly south, not much but a tickle of a nickel smudge. Snow axis is a little weird though.

Yeah I just did the comparison the GFS was about 20 miles south and colder. Just that SMALL warm punch lol.

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1 hour ago, ILoveWinter said:

Most people don't follow the models as closely as us weenies and probably don't know that CPK tends to under measure snow! Seems like a nice arbitrage opportunity here lol.

Seems like a lawsuit generator if there is a ridiculous measurement reported by the conservancy.

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1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

I suspect we'll be fighting off sleet for a while as long as precip comes down heavily. 

Do you think it can be one of those instances where despite what models show it goes back and forth depending on rates ?

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2 hours ago, Winterweatherlover said:

It is but it mainly only helps places between 84 and 287 this run, would need another 30 mile tick to mean much for NYC metro.

There's warm and there's warm. IP is better than ZR.

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9 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

Gfs ticked ever so slightly south, not much but a tickle of a nickel smudge. Snow axis is a little weird though.

How does no one comment on this crazy Dr. Seuss line?!  Was this from Cat in the Winter Hat or Horton Hears pinging on his window?  

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30 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

The nature of this storm is pretty clear that New England would get nailed a few days ago. It was pretty clear to everyone this wouldn’t end up a VA/Mid Atlantic snowstorm. Retreating high, retreating confluence, trough in the west and SE ridging=SWFE that favors I-90, Boston over to Albany and S NY. The initial high pressure/overrunning gives people like us down to DC a fighting chance but the best is along I-90. I-84 should do very well too. 

The 84 corridor is still sitting in an ideal location . 14-18” should be widespread north of Suffern. 

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