nycsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: The heavy rates will be key. If those shred up or let up the warm air will advance fast. We saw this in last Feb's SWFE and back in Dec. positive thing is; even though it sucks to mix at least sleet still accumulates and it’s not a cold rain or white rain lol 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 The real story from this storm will be the icing down south vs the snow we get here. Austin to San Antonio is expected to get up to about 0.25" ice and there are winter storm warnings all the way to almost Corpus Christi. That would be like us getting 2-3 feet of snow in terms of disruptiveness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Meanwhile barometer is still rising at 30.64 (approx 1038 mb) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: positive thing is; even though it sucks to mix at least sleet still accumulates and it’s not a cold rain or white rain lol If you're a fan of long lasting snow cover then sleet will encase the snow and it's gonna last a long time 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 hrrr looks good barely mixed at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 12z NAM Snow arrives between 3 - 5 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 stole it from NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 NAM has sleet by 1pm into cnj 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 What did we ever do to the nam? Why does it hate us so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: hrrr looks good barely mixed at the end These 10:1 maps don't do the areas 30 miles and more north of the city any justice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Three things that were predictable. The GFS caving, the north trend and that the NWS was way too aggressive with their initial maps. I'd say 6-10" locally but on the lower end of that range probably. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jt17 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 NAM really hates this storm . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: What did we ever do to the nam? Why does it hate us so It’s being retired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: stole it from NE They want it back or they will call social services. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: These 10:1 maps don't do the areas 30 miles and more north of the city any justice. Here's the HRRR's total snowfall map using the model's own assessment of the snow-liquid ratio: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Jt17 said: NAM really hates this storm . Im sorry but rates that high as the NAM is showing the changeover is way to aggressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Last call. Zero changes to the map from yesterday afternoon. Let's see how it goes... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: What did we ever do to the nam? Why does it hate us so Sleet goes all the way up to NNJ. Nam might be too fast. Sometimes it has these wonky runs the day before. If this is correct its only a 4-8 inches snowstorm before heavy sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 NAM also showing that sleet line crashing south again and then back north in the evening. Somewhere along that area is in for a rough few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Is the primary simply stronger with the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Sleet goes all the way up to NNJ. Nam might be too fast. Sometimes it has these wonky runs the day before. If this is correct its only a 4-8 inches snowstorm before heavy sleet. NAm sucks, there's not going to be sleet in mountain creek NJ, lets be real here, nam is wrong! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Nam is an icy disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 NAM ugly for NYC south. At this point have to start taking it more seriously given it's ability to sniff out mid level warming better than other models. I am not saying ride it 100% but I wouldn't discount it either. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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