Interstate Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, paulythegun said: Why are you posting Tuesday runs? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS disseminating quickly today thank goodness. I like it at hr30 but I won’t put my foot in my mouth when I’m sure proper pbp is ready to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Why are you posting Tuesday runs?Oh geez 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Early on, GFS has slightly MORE separation than 6z, but other models looked that way early on only to phase in amp'd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 10 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: 12z ICON Meh, where are the 15" totals? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 While we are waiting for the GFS, here is a nice visualization of the 06z GEFS members for IAD. https://www2.mmm.ucar.edu/projects/ncar_ensemble/plumes/ 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, stormtracker said: Early on, GFS has slightly less separation than 6z, but other models looked that way early on only to phase in amp'd You mean more separation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 ICON had way more of a dry slot sig than any other guidance imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Ok, it's so far the baja sw is bit west of 6z and a little less interaction so far...could be just slower or GFS doing GFS things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, baltosquid said: You mean more separation? Yes. I meant interaction actually. But one in the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Ok, it's so far the baja sw is bit west of 6z and a little less interaction so far...could be just slower or GFS doing GFS things Ai gfs similar wrt less Interaction and/or slower to move out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Please, people, let Randy do the pbp and let the model run to the end of this current possible event before jumping to conclusions. He will give everyone the good picture and then folks can resume worrying/weenie'ing. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, Interstate said: Why are you posting Tuesday runs? i deleted it almost immediately, you're quick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 ok, 63, it's noticeably more southwest of it's 6z position. Lets see what that means (if anything) down the line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Please, people, let Randy do the pbp and let the model run to the end of this current possible event before jumping to conclusions. He will give everyone the good picture and then folks can resume worrying/weenie'ing. FOLKS? Did you say Folks? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ai gfs similar wrt less Interaction and/or slower to move out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Ai is souther an asshair, tucked, and appears to be a beat down fwiw 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ends up more amped anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SMikh Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 DC/ BWI pummeled on the Allen iverson 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 It's coming out obviously, but it's south of the 6z position and a bit more detached/ less interactive appearance Next panel, it definitely further south and dug more and still closed off. 6z was opened up and further northeast 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's coming out obviously, but it's south of the 6z position and a bit more detached/ less interactive appearance Next panel, it definitely further south and dug more and still closed off. 6z was opened up and further northeast It’s digging more and the whole h5 is shifted west. Think will amp but will amp on the good way with near what ai has . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Opens back up at 84...and still moving out...so nothing crazy like getting stuck down there...just is a bit south of where it was at 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Jet dynamics are mostly carbon copy of 6z. This is gonna be a wrecking. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 10 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Meh, where are the 15" totals? This is what happens when you board the hype train too early. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's coming out obviously, but it's south of the 6z position and a bit more detached/ less interactive appearance Next panel, it definitely further south and dug more and still closed off. 6z was opened up and further northeast Hopefully will result in a pausing of the north/amped "trend" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 10 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Meh, where are the 15" totals? That's what the kuchera maps are for... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 0z will be telling with the dropsonde pac data being ingested into the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 So far...GFS looks like it's going to be a hold 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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