Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18 minutes ago, wake4est said: RAH Issues Winter Storm Warning for rest of central NC ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation of largely sleet and freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations between three tenths and three quarters of an inch. Total sleet and snow accumulations up to two inches. * WHERE...For much of the Piedmont and northern Coastal Plain of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Significant ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Travel could be treacherous. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains, booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. Hope that means we'll miss the worst of the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: Hope that means we'll miss the worst of the ice. I think they did the WSW instead of an ISW because of the presence of snow and sleet at onset. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just now, wake4est said: I think they did the WSW instead of an ISW because of the presence of snow and sleet at onset. That is what I am hoping will save us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 10 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: That is what I am hoping will save us. No, I believe it is ISW criteria PLUS the presence of snow and sleet that upgrades that to a WSW. I could be wrong tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sakau2007 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 can we start a thread for next week's storm? those of us in Alabama have moved on 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 8 minutes ago, sakau2007 said: can we start a thread for next week's storm? those of us in Alabama have moved on Yes, the middle to long term discussion thread. 4 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 35 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Im tired bro. This is a fun but exhausting hobby. You ain't kidding man. I literally passed out on the couch last night and it was only like 9:20. Early for me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Just got the okay that ill be off work Sunday and no mandatory call ins...Thankfully ill get to be with the wife and kids in case our power goes out. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: You ain't kidding man. I literally passed out on the couch last night and it was only like 9:20. Early for me. I haven't been this exhausted since the Christmas Day storm! Best sleep of my life after it was over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Wagons south?. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Looking closer at the 12z CAMs even though a lot of moisture was going north, you can see the showers that develop in the dry slot and I think that’s what some here have been picking up on- if you’re in the wedge even though you might get the dry slot it likely doesn’t stop precipitating. Happens all the time with warm season wedges, supposed to be 70 but stuck at 50 and drizzle, light rain. Not convinced the moisture goes north of us but if it does it doesn’t mean it stops the precip 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwatcherJ Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Man it's become quiet in here... have we all settled on a solution more than 24 hours out?? Things could still change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, stormwatcherJ said: Man it's become quiet in here... have we all settled on a solution more than 24 hours out?? Things could still change. I'm not sure anyone cares anymore. I don't even recall tracking Katrina this long. It is what it is. We're too busy being suckered into next weeks blizzard. 5 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18z HRRR would be great in southern VA 2-4" before the switchover. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 The hrrr looks wetter on its surface depiction but haven’t finished the run to confirm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said: I'm not sure anyone cares anymore. I don't even recall tracking Katrina this long. It is what it is. We're too busy being suckered into next weeks blizzard. We need to pace ourselves. Next week could be even more bonkers and exhausting 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted January 23 Author Share Posted January 23 We need to pace ourselves. Next week could be even more bonkers and exhausting That would give me something to do after surgery . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GSP disco is out. Man, they are really struggling with this one https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 NAM is correcting south lol. These models! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Pretty clear move south in better alignment with most other models. TW 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huriken Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 30 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z HRRR would be great in southern VA 2-4" before the switchover. The HRRR is now my favorite model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 35 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The hrrr looks wetter on its surface depiction but haven’t finished the run to confirm. Yeah, QPF is not going to be an issue with this system in NC. The only area that will get dry slotted is the coastline counties. Most of the state will get 1.5 to 2inches of QPF easily. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said: You ain't kidding man. I literally passed out on the couch last night and it was only like 9:20. Early for me. Bunch of amateurs you are! I used to live in the North...Now that's constant back and forth and stress November through March. I don't miss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: Yeah, QPF is not going to be an issue with this system. The only area that will get dry slotted is the coastline counties. Most of the state will get 1.5 to 2inches of QPF easily. I bet 30 to 40 miles south of ATL doesn't top a half inch of precip. Its what happens here the last 8mos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 28 minutes ago, Jimbo! said: That would give me something to do after surgery . BTW, Good luck with your surgery, hope it goes well! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sakau2007 Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 NAM definitely trending a stronger wedge deeper south and west into Georgia... but also trending a little warmer for northern Mississippi. surface thermals could definitely be a fail mode across most of MS now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 47 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: We need to pace ourselves. Next week could be even more bonkers and exhausting 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: Just got the okay that ill be off work Sunday and no mandatory call ins...Thankfully ill get to be with the wife and kids in case our power goes out. That's awesome. Unfortunately for me, my boss tells me I have to go in Sunday night to spread salt at the schools i do maintenance at. Meanwhile just yesterday he tells me NEVER drive in the ice. I drive a rear wheel drive Chevy van. Should be interesting if its icy. I'm too old for this shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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