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Storm potential January 17th-18th


WeatherGeek2025
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3 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

These models are ridiculous, 12z they all come west look like a decent storm, now all east and disorganized.

Typical model mayhem before a winter storm. Miss these times.

 

Might have to use the mesos

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Just now, Krs4Lfe said:

Wow GFS barely has a storm. Continues the trend of NAM and HRRR further east. Looks like an initial wave and then the low gets pulled east so we never really get going here. Warm too 

Likely go together, further east less dynamics warmer solution, better dynamics would lead to a colder solution.

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1 hour ago, wxman said:

Just wondering where you picked up an extra 2" since we live a stones throw away?  I was travelling over Christmas week, did I miss an event?

 

December 6, 2025…………………………………..0.2”

December 14, 2025………………………………...7.2”

December 23. 2025………………………………...0.5”

December 26, 2025………………………………...1.5”

January 1, 2026…………………………………….0.5”

January 2, 2026……………………………………..0.1”

January 17, 2026…………………………………...3.0”

2025-2026 Running Total……………….…….…13.0”

12/6. - .3

12/14 - 7.2

12/23- 1"

12/26-27 - 1.5" snow/sleet

1/1-2 - 1.5"

1/17 - 3.1 

I guess 14.6 instead of 15.  I have a spreadsheet and I just realized I set up the formula wrong.  Thank you!

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