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Storm potential January 17th-18th


WeatherGeek2025
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3 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

These models are ridiculous, 12z they all come west look like a decent storm, now all east and disorganized.

Typical model mayhem before a winter storm. Miss these times.

 

Might have to use the mesos

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Just now, Krs4Lfe said:

Wow GFS barely has a storm. Continues the trend of NAM and HRRR further east. Looks like an initial wave and then the low gets pulled east so we never really get going here. Warm too 

Likely go together, further east less dynamics warmer solution, better dynamics would lead to a colder solution.

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1 hour ago, wxman said:

Just wondering where you picked up an extra 2" since we live a stones throw away?  I was travelling over Christmas week, did I miss an event?

 

December 6, 2025…………………………………..0.2”

December 14, 2025………………………………...7.2”

December 23. 2025………………………………...0.5”

December 26, 2025………………………………...1.5”

January 1, 2026…………………………………….0.5”

January 2, 2026……………………………………..0.1”

January 17, 2026…………………………………...3.0”

2025-2026 Running Total……………….…….…13.0”

12/6. - .3

12/14 - 7.2

12/23- 1"

12/26-27 - 1.5" snow/sleet

1/1-2 - 1.5"

1/17 - 3.1 

I guess 14.6 instead of 15.  I have a spreadsheet and I just realized I set up the formula wrong.  Thank you!

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23 minutes ago, Monty said:

What a fantastic winter. Long stretches of cold, no real torch, and already probably the greatest frequency of snow in at least the last 5?

One KU and this will be top tier. 

i wouldn't go that far; its been piddly events for lots of us followed by a dry warm stretch. hopefully that is turning around. today we got a surprise 2.2 inches imby, if RU is accurate; when i emerged from the theater, after suffering through 3 hours of avatar, wondering when it would end, i was shocked to see plowable snow; the mall was busy too. i. guess we're around 10-12 for the season. we would need a lot more of these events to get to seasonal average here; i think we have been in a drier climate a few years, so a big daddy is probably unlikely, though i lucked out in feb 2024 with that 10-12 inch storm.

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10 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

i wouldn't go that far; its been piddly events for lots of us followed by a dry warm stretch. hopefully that is turning around. today we got a surprise 2.2 inches imby, if RU is accurate; when i emerged from the theater, after suffering through 3 hours of avatar, wondering when it would end, i was shocked to see plowable snow; the mall was busy too. i. guess we're around 10-12 for the season. we would need a lot more of these events to get to seasonal average here; i think we have been in a drier climate a few years, so a big daddy is probably unlikely, though i lucked out in feb 2024 with that 10-12 inch storm.

With tomorrow’s storm it’ll be best winter since 2022 because December was cold and we’re back to cold now. But it only feels like a great winter because of how warm and snowless the 2020s have been 

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