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12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026


bncho
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For tonight into early tomorrow (outside the WSW/WWA areas) afternoon disco from LWX 

Most hi-res guidance continues to hint at the potential for snow
showers or squalls with some impacts north of I-66/US-50.
Greatest potential in true snow squall warning criteria (winds >
25 mph, VSBY < 1/4 mile, and road temps below freezing) are
favored in the Cumberland to Frederick, MD area. Will continue
to monitor. Further south, a dry boundary layer is in place that
gets drier overnight with FROPA. This is partially observed in
the difference between the composite reflectivity in hi-res
model guidance and the 1km AGL reflectivity. SFC Td depressions
in most hi-res guidance >10F pre-frontal, and in the 15-20F
range with FROPA. What this is getting at is it likely snows
east of the mountains, but may not be true snow squall criteria.
The confidence for accumulation east of the mountains still
remains in question.
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32 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Winds really picking up with gusts in the mid 30s and it’s dumping. Can’t ask for a better birthday treat!
dc17bb835242529ba1ca28d236e6ab65.jpg

I'm not going to lie, I'm pretty jealous. Happy Birthday. Many more happy, healthy ones. 

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4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

West Virginia is the place to retire in the winter if you like snow and want to stay in the general Mid Atlantic area man. I am seriously tossing around the idea of relocating. My place in VA used to get abused in the winter. Now the only thing getting abused is my winter weather weenie sanity. 

Up-slope with diving mid-continent polar air masses are putting in the work. Pick the highest latitude / altitude combo. 

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2 hours ago, clskinsfan said:

31.3/18 If anything can make it down to the ground here it will be beautiful. 

Always amazed at the lack of radar while Snowshoe gets bashed:

https://www.snowshoemtn.com/media-room/skidder-slope-live-cam

The radar hole of Hades. Blacksburg's doesn't quite reach there, Charleston's does but only after zooming over the Yew mountains, and Sterling's has too many ridges to cross too. I THINK Pittsburgh's gets there too, again not well though. 

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