JoshM Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Southeast ridge said, "Remember me?!" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 6 hours ago, JoshM said: Southeast ridge said, "Remember me?!" Bring it. Sick of the cold. Ok, now flame me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionCountyNCWX Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 7 hours ago, JoshM said: Southeast ridge said, "Remember me?!" LET'S GOOOO!!!! Im still on for a late season storm, but im ready to thaw out completely for now. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Late month 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 2 hours ago, suzook said: Bring it. Sick of the cold. Ok, now flame me. I am ready for severe season since we couldn't get the job done in a near perfect setup this winter IMBY. We aren't going to make up for that this year so might as well move on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 To torch for Valentine’s weekend or no torch; that is the question 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 February 15 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Seems like this drastic cold snap we were supposed to get mid month seems to be fading. Sure we will get some cold days thrown in, maybe 3 or 4 days below normal after the 15th, but it seems like a normal February to me. Some warmth, some cold. Dare I say winter is over for GA??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: To torch for Valentine’s weekend or no torch; that is the question Yep looks like we warm up next week. I will be in Charleston so looking forward to some warmth. Don't sleep on Valentine's weekend, a little blocking and get rid of that upper midwest low and you have a big winter storm in the SE. Looks like a strat split coming up that could make March very cold in the U.S., at least until mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 2 hours ago, suzook said: Seems like this drastic cold snap we were supposed to get mid month seems to be fading. Sure we will get some cold days thrown in, maybe 3 or 4 days below normal after the 15th, but it seems like a normal February to me. Some warmth, some cold. Dare I say winter is over for GA??? What’s your definition of “winter is over”? I’m going to enjoy the next 7 days of no torch with ups and downs, low dewpoints, and the progged highest temp of only ~69. The period should avg a bit BN and this should mean great walking wx. Afterward, I’m hoping any possible torch (say upper 70s to low 80s) is fairly tame and shortlived. Hopefully there’d still be lots of lows down in the 40s. Looking further ahead: although the Euro Weeklies maintain a -PNA and don’t have a -NAO/-AO, they cool it off to NN last week of Feb. Winter’s always my favorite season even if not cold, mainly because I enjoy the lack of bugs and humidity as well as the big swings that other seasons typically don’t have. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Around Valentine's Day features a cutter on all models. Seems like some potential for CAD/messy ice situation depending on track/ridge placement. Also could feature borderline severe if the low tracks across New England instead of PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 14 hours ago, GaWx said: What’s your definition of “winter is over”? I’m going to enjoy the next 7 days of no torch with ups and downs, low dewpoints, and the progged highest temp of only ~69. The period should avg a bit BN and this should mean great walking wx. Afterward, I’m hoping any possible torch (say upper 70s to low 80s) is fairly tame and shortlived. Hopefully there’d still be lots of lows down in the 40s. Looking further ahead: although the Euro Weeklies maintain a -PNA and don’t have a -NAO/-AO, they cool it off to NN last week of Feb. Winter’s always my favorite season even if not cold, mainly because I enjoy the lack of bugs and humidity as well as the big swings that other seasons typically don’t have. I'm originally from the north, so my definition of winter is what we had the last couple of weeks. Way below normal. So yes, I am a bit skewed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Believe it or not…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I am pretty sure other than tonight's near non event that we are likely done for the year. I know that stings for our Wake County folks who want a makeup event for the dry slot. After the warm up we get into much more difficult territory for a big hit. Obviously it certainly would not be the 20:1 type ratios. It would likely be a paste job (which is good for photos but can cause a lot more issues). I am not sure when RDU will get another shot at 6 or better but it won't be anytime soon (possibly years). I do hope we get some decent severe chances at least in the Spring. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 16 minutes ago, eyewall said: I am pretty sure other than tonight's near non event that we are likely done for the year. I know that stings for our Wake County folks who want a makeup event for the dry slot. After the warm up we get into much more difficult territory for a big hit. Obviously it certainly would not be the 20:1 type ratios. It would likely be a paste job (which is good for photos but can cause a lot more issues). I am not sure when RDU will get another shot at 6 or better but it won't be anytime soon (possibly years). I do hope we get some decent severe chances at least in the Spring. Exactly how many times are going to post the same exact thing Jeremy? It gets tiresome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 2 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said: Exactly how many times are going to post the same exact thing Jeremy? It gets tiresome. Maybe a few more times. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 23 minutes ago, eyewall said: I am pretty sure other than tonight's near non event that we are likely done for the year. I know that stings for our Wake County folks who want a makeup event for the dry slot. After the warm up we get into much more difficult territory for a big hit. Obviously it certainly would not be the 20:1 type ratios. It would likely be a paste job (which is good for photos but can cause a lot more issues). I am not sure when RDU will get another shot at 6 or better but it won't be anytime soon (possibly years). I do hope we get some decent severe chances at least in the Spring. Being pretty sure or confident on any long term weather pattern is an oxymoron. Knowing how complex these things are, statements like these serve no purpose and are not productive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 3 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: Being pretty sure or confident on any long term weather pattern is an oxymoron. Knowing how complex these things are, statements like these serve no purpose and are not productive. If we do get another round of winter the MJO forecast points to around the 21st or after so we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 17 minutes ago, eyewall said: If we do get another round of winter the MJO forecast points to around the 21st or after so we shall see Yeah looks late month to me. Hopefully soil temps are cold enough that stretch from 2/9-2/14 does not do what it did last year and cause massive pre-mature blooming, we had numerous people in SC/GA lose crops etc when it got cold again in late February. I think the difference this time is soil temps won't rebound as well, last year 1/25-2/2 was decently warm which allowed the baseline soil temps to get up enough that the big warm spell just after that opened everything up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah looks late month to me. Hopefully soil temps are cold enough that stretch from 2/9-2/14 does not do what it did last year and cause massive pre-mature blooming, we had numerous people in SC/GA lose crops etc when it got cold again in late February. I think the difference this time is soil temps won't rebound as well, last year 1/25-2/2 was decently warm which allowed the baseline soil temps to get up enough that the big warm spell just after that opened everything up. Soil temps ahead of the warmup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah looks late month to me. Hopefully soil temps are cold enough that stretch from 2/9-2/14 does not do what it did last year and cause massive pre-mature blooming, we had numerous people in SC/GA lose crops etc when it got cold again in late February. I think the difference this time is soil temps won't rebound as well, last year 1/25-2/2 was decently warm which allowed the baseline soil temps to get up enough that the big warm spell just after that opened everything up. My Central NC daffodils started sprouting in this past December's late warm up They are still alive-about 5 inches Despite the cold ,ice, snow the last couple weeks I have several tulip sprouts this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, eyewall said: I am pretty sure other than tonight's near non event that we are likely done for the year. I know that stings for our Wake County folks who want a makeup event for the dry slot. After the warm up we get into much more difficult territory for a big hit. Obviously it certainly would not be the 20:1 type ratios. It would likely be a paste job (which is good for photos but can cause a lot more issues). I am not sure when RDU will get another shot at 6 or better but it won't be anytime soon (possibly years). I do hope we get some decent severe chances at least in the Spring. Although highly unlikely in any one winter, RDU’s largest concentration of 6”+ snowfalls since 1950 over any 6-7 day period isn’t til way out during the interval 2/26-3/3 with 5 of the 21 RDU storms. Also, 3 of the 16 GSO 6”+ storms since 1950 that weren’t also at RDU were during a portion of the same period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orange county Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 minute ago, GaWx said: Although highly unlikely in any one winter, RDU’s largest concentration of 6”+ snowfalls since 1950 over any 6-7 day period isn’t til way out during the interval 2/26-3/3 with 5 of the 21 RDU storms. Also, 3 of the 16 GSO 6”+ storms since 1950 that weren’t also at RDU were during a portion of the same period. Good point Of course they typically happen at 35 degrees. maybe 33 SLOP 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Go home GFS, you’re drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 GFS says happy Valentines Day snow lovers. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 23 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Go home GFS, you’re drunk Maybe not..... This is our year. How many time have we seen long range torches get muted or replaced by cold? Happening a lot this winter as we get closer to verification time. It just wants to be cold in the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 CMC has the same general setup but doesn’t have the high placement like GFS so wintry is further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 You guys need to remember that the GFS led the way with the last storm. All other models caved to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 44 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Go home GFS, you’re drunk 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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