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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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13 minutes ago, Wow said:

Randy don't you dare come into the SE forum and jinx this one as well, lol.

Though I really do think this will continue to trend NW.  I think DC has a good shot!

I came in to show yall a good run.  I'm not going back in there, lol.  Place is hostile to yankees.

Kinda tempted to go in there and post this tho:

this-is-the-most-adorable-thing-i-have-s

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2 minutes ago, Army Mike said:

Question: Is this a true Miller A? If so then would AI have a tad more trouble grasping the Synoptics since it’s so rare


.

Yes it tries to back in off the ocean, about as Miller A as you can get.

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5 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

HEY MODS!

IF we get some consensus of part of the forum seeing snow at 0z, I would propose a new med to long and a weekend focus thread! :) - No jinxes allowed though. Or somone does a Leeroy Jenkins thread now! LOL! 

 

 

I mean, idgaf about the jinx/superstitious boo birds.  Regardless, this is going to need a thread soon...this isn't medium range anymore.

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2 minutes ago, IronTy said:

I have my Kocin books on my bedside table.  Gonna look for surface evolution analogs before bed tonight.  I'm doing my part.  Euro ensembles. 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-ma-total_snow_10to1-0001200.png

You're three minutes late. You didn't get ninja'd, you literally missed the bus.

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1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

To my untrained eye seems like models and ensembles have come nw at 18z...   Could this be a trend toward the GFS!!   Crazier things have happened!! 

Well, it looks like the 00z will be worth the watch, at least to see...

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4 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

18z EPS left, 12z right. MSLP members. Tuck baby tuck!  Still a cluster of far southeast outliers 

Screenshot 2026-01-27 at 7.06.56 PM.png

It's very obvious that there's a bunch of far SE members that weigh down the mean.

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