stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 It's early, but remarkably consistent so far at H5 57 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, stormtracker said: It's early, but remarkably consistent so far at H5 57 I'm nervous AF right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, LeesburgWx said: I'm nervous AF right now Getcha a drink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 22 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: I wonder what Louis Uccellini would say about this one? Congrats Des Moines. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, LeesburgWx said: I'm nervous AF right now yes but we dont have to wait an hour like this. Its a quick painful death when its so close 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: I'm nervous AF right now We still got like 20 more euro runs till any game time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Ji said: it looks like it was a stronger storm though overall...just more east Just a bit more + tilt in front of the closed ULL. Minor diff but big implications. But the odds of anything being locked in is zero. That said, my yard strongly approves of this run.... 6-12" cold powder heh 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Potential for 15-20:1 ratios is high so the euroAI would still be close to 6" in dc/Baltimore. Hard to hate the run unless you live in Leesburg 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 12z suite looking good thus far. I'd rather be in the bullseye on Thurs/Fri, if this materializes. Right now, the fact all models are picking up a costal storm and the dynamics look favorable is the key takeaway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Ok, SV doing the skipped panel thing, but I'm at 99...starting to get some development on the gulf 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 So, this looks like it will be east of 6z so far 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 The h5 maps lag severely behind so I don't know where it's gonna go next..but there is the latest frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, stormtracker said: So, this looks like it will be east of 6z so far Good I don’t want to be getting wrecked at day 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So, this looks like it will be east of 6z so far ok good it was trending like 100 miles NW each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, TSSN+ said: Good I don’t want to be getting wrecked at day 5 Probably won't be getting wrecked at day 0 either lol. Let's hope though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, stormtracker said: The h5 maps lag severely behind so I don't know where it's gonna go next..but there is the latest frame Looks positive tilt. Onto 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Yeah, it's east. Hold it together...we're 5 days out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Got the slow tuck thing happening tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, it's east. Hold it together...we're 5 days out Kinda don’t need to wait for regular euro anymore. So usually leads and shows the same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Good I don’t want to be getting wrecked at day 5 the ull is not as negative as it was at same panels like 6z but the signal is still there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 WB 12Z Can. ensemble; last picture compared to 0Z. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, stormtracker said: Got the slow tuck thing happening tho Is Norfolk really going to be the place to be? Lots of time to go. Storm is still there, so that's the plus side. We just need more negative tilt a bit earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 It doesn't retrograde the pv in Canada as much this run. You could tell by the 500mb maps at 60hrs it was probably going east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 16 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Nothing wrong with the Euro-AI. You don't want to be in the bulls eye this far out. This setup screams north trend to me. North and probably east trend unfortunately. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 i could tell it was going to be east just from how it looked up here by North Dakota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Wait for the D4 "model reshuffle" before getting worried about OTS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, WxUSAF said: This setup screams north trend to me. North and probably east trend unfortunately. Yes, I'm thinking new england would be the place to be for this last second comeback. It does the short term overcorrect, then tends to "re-correct" back the other way. That said, we've seen a lot happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Amped said: It doesn't retrograde the pv in Canada as much this run. You could tell by the 500mb maps at 60hrs it was probably going east. Definitely need that PV placement for a good block in place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Amped said: It doesn't retrograde the pv in Canada as much this run. You could tell by the 500mb maps at 60hrs it was probably going east. That's why I caution this is delicate setup even if we eventually do get the low bombing off the coast at some point. Those smaller differences up top translate into huge surface-level shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 so deflating...especially cause its under 120 hours out. Randy is fired 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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