JenkinsJinkies Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: And maybe early February MJO starts moving into favorable positions by then too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 0z NAM is pushing the energy further west at 57hr vs 18z NAM at 63hr fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 0z NAM is pushing the energy further west at 57hr vs 18z NAM at 63hr fwiw It is. Sort of like the GFS did vs it's 12z run. Stop being positive, it's unsettling. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 NAM is def better at H5 vs 18z, Im at 81...some snow, just above freezing at this frame tho. 84: Precip heavier, still slightly above freezing, still all around kinda sloppy tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Nam kinda looks nice at the end of the run. Heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 It's the NAM, but 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Time for a thread. Idk who wants to own this stinker, but it must be done. We’ve got other things to post here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 HAHAHAHAHA the NAM is obviously an Eagles fan and is on a bender after that game. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Time for a thread. Idk who wants to own this stinker, but it must be done. We’ve got other things to post here Wait until tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 23 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Time for a thread. Idk who wants to own this stinker, but it must be done. We’ve got other things to post here Created. Made it clear I’m not taking ownership like December storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Created. Made it clear I’m not taking ownership like December storms Bring this MF’er home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 48 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: It's all about the N. Hemisphere 500mb pattern. There are strong patterns in certain places in the hemisphere when DC/Baltimore gets >7" snowstorms. When the pattern is cold, with room to spare, long range threats/patterns are worth following. We have -AO tendency this Winter, December was colder than average in the Northeast and we are probably colder than average in the 2nd half of January. I've been pretty bullish on the Winter pattern general, although the STJ is really dry. The last few days of January has potential, imo. And maybe early February. ENSO subsurface Kelvin wave is occurring, and that historically correlates with more +PNA in the north pacific. Give us -AO running south into a ridge over Greenland, with a 50/50 low under it, and the pattern looks suddenly favorable. Unfortunately it's 15 days out, but it does have support with things actually occurring, like in ENSO, and Winter -AO tendency from -SLP 60-90N this past warm season (correlation good since 2012). When it comes to whether it's gonna snow or not Chuck is like the ol' man in a Christmas Story, "Oh he knows, he always knows" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Well, I was gonna give it another day, but if yall want the thread, I'll leave it. Movin on over there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, stormtracker said: Well, I was gonna give it another day, but if yall want the thread, I'll leave it. Movin on over there See id be against it if it was the only game in town but when we got three windows we gotta be siloing out the dying ones 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Icon looks like it has a lottle something with the CAPE storm...although the way the precip oriented hurt my feelings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 53 minutes ago, anotherman said: HAHAHAHAHA the NAM is obviously an Eagles fan and is on a bender after that game. lol - it's like "where the f*ck is Sirianni's house!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: It is. Sort of like the GFS did vs it's 12z run. Stop being positive, it's unsettling. Did I ever tell anyone that in my mind's eye, I picture Chuck as Napolean Dynamite? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Ok, let's see if we can conjure up this cape storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Ok, let's see if we can conjure up this cape stormIcon literally has the cape storm…just for cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Well GFS H5 is different vs 18z. It's like roulette these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 4 minutes ago, Ji said: Icon literally has the cape storm…just for cape Thursday the 8th, the 12z run 180hrs panel of the Icon gave us a snowstorm. This is just where we wantvit if we want snow in 180 hours. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 One day we're gonna win yall. Just not tonight it seems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Well GFS H5 is different vs 18z. It's like roulette these days I swear the pre-2018 Euro version was better than any model now, including the current Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: I swear the pre-2018 Euro version was better than any model now, including the current Euro. I said it before, can they downgrade the models? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: I swear the pre-2018 Euro version was better than any model now, including the current Euro. This shit is depressing, ngl. But we all know it's gonna keep changing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: One day we're gonna win yall. Just not tonight it seems. These trough that come in with a NE/SW shape and hook southeast aren't going to work for us. We need a west to east progression. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: This shit is depressing, ngl. But we all know it's gonna keep changing. Consistency is key they say. Too bad there is none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: One day we're gonna win yall. Just not tonight it seems. GFS completely cuts off the SS interaction...mercy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 That run had a slight improvement on the h5. Brings in a little dusting to an inch it looks like. Our new standard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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