January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[NorthArlington101]

GEFS snow mean for Boston is like 6”. Starting to look a pretty classic Miller B sorta screwjob. 1-2” around here which isn’t awful though 

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Agreed, but should've checked the thread name before bringing up semantics: "January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion"

Ah dang it, lol So eait that means we can't talk about February either...

[JenkinsJinkies]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GEFS snow mean for Boston is like 6”. Starting to look a pretty classic Miller B sorta screwjob. 1-2” around here which isn’t awful though 

Still means that adding to the futility list is off the table.

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Ah dang it, lol So eait that means we can't talk about February either...

Well maybe if you wait a week or two you can make the February long range thread.

[stormtracker]

42 minutes ago, Ji said:

well surprisingly the southern stream bullied its way to us and we get snow. Sounds like we are punting 2 more weeks to this HECS

We can't even get an advisory level event right and you focusing on a HECS on the 300+ GFS

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

GEFS snow mean for Boston is like 6”. Starting to look a pretty classic Miller B sorta screwjob. 1-2” around here which isn’t awful though 

Imma give it one more day and then pretty much settle into that realization and hope for the best

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

We can't even get an advisory level event right and you focusing on a HECS on the 300+ GFS

I mean a week ago it was wall to wall nothing for days. Now there’s trackable events.

[baltosquid]

GEFS was considerably wetter here than 12z but I guess temps are just too iffy.

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Besides to those who absolutely need a hit of digital blue the GFS has the 23-25th window with a rather fun storm if it can pull north. 

Pretty persistent signal across guidance over the last few runs for this type of setup. Big storm potential with significant moisture overrunning cold HP.

 

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, baltosquid said:

GEFS was considerably wetter here than 12z but I guess temps are just too iffy.

I think it’s the low placement from what I’ve seen.

[SnowenOutThere]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Imma give it one more day and then pretty much settle into that realization and hope for the best

Can we start a thread to silo the whining there?

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Can we start a thread to silo the whining there?

Panic room already exists, though getting a couple inches out of this isn’t justifiably panic worthy given the HECS nature being a long shot.

[benjammin]

sounds like the only window this season where models are showing real cold air combined with a real southern stream. my bar is set at 39 inches

It's always good to temper expectations, well done.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[Solution Man]

So how we doing

[JenkinsJinkies]

Just now, Solution Man said:

So how we doing

People saw a long shot HECS setup and got carried away. Cliff jumpers are on standby.

[Kay]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Panic room already exists

I've come to realize Jenkins is the most relentlessly optimistic poster we have. Polices tf out of all negativity. Has declared war on the futility thread! a thread I forgot existed but am now reminded of thrice daily by Jenkins. Here I thought I was annoyed by complaining! Kryptonite to Jenkins. Beware, this is a world class hopeful, idealistic, anything-is-possible person, a pure soul, and surly about it!

[Kay]

It's humor, @TSSN+

I'll get my coat.

[JenkinsJinkies]

2 minutes ago, Kay said:

I've come to realize Jenkins is the most relentlessly optimistic poster we have. Polices tf out of all negativity. Has declared war on the futility thread! a thread I forgot existed but am now reminded of thrice daily by Jenkins. Here I thought I was annoyed by complaining! Kryptonite to Jenkins. Beware, this is a world class hopeful, idealistic, anything-is-possible person, a pure soul, and surly about it!

https://youtu.be/OblHVyXRAOQ?si=n65qU3LK_HNjTPGo

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, Kay said:

I've come to realize Jenkins is the most relentlessly optimistic poster we have. Polices tf out of all negativity. Has declared war on the futility thread! a thread I forgot existed but am now reminded of thrice daily by Jenkins. Here I thought I was annoyed by complaining! Kryptonite to Jenkins. Beware, this is a world class hopeful, idealistic, anything-is-possible person, a pure soul, and surly about it!

What message are you trying to convey?

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, Kay said:

It's humor, @TSSN+

I'll get my coat.

Disintegrating thread

[Kay]

Just now, bncho said:

What message are you trying to convey?

I mean: He's kind of surly. But he really is a person who hates negativity. Get it?

(and he seems to really hate complaining, and hopelessness about snow, He and I are really not that different

[JenkinsJinkies]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

What message are you trying to convey?

I think some people are taking certain ratings too personally again.

[bncho]

I’m probably adding fuel to the fire lol. I’m such a bad poster lolol

probably should stop posting for a while and fix myself up. Focus on school instead 

[Ralph Wiggum]

What has even happened in here the past 90 minutes? I was going to say you guys are in mid season form....but, it is in fact mid-season. So I guess everything is right in the world 

[Scraff]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

I’m probably adding fuel to the fire lol. I’m such a bad poster lolol

probably should stop posting for a while and fix myself up. Focus on school instead 

Yeah. F weather! Go work on your bitchin nacho recipe. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 minute ago, Kay said:

I mean: He's kind of surly. But he really is a person who hates negativity. Get it?

(and he seems to really hate complaining, and hopelessness about snow, He and I are really not that different

The crux of that is that there are a handful of users here that have this all or nothing mentality for our snow, if we’re not getting a HECS then we’re getting nothing at all. Even though that isn’t our only way to get snow. They’re persistent enough to make that opinion the “loudest”.

Now without a HECS hitting climo is an uphill climb but a complete dead ratter when the metros had their snowiest December in nearly a decade seems to be a bit presumptuous…

[bncho]

there should be a thread where only meteorologists and pro forecasters can post, view only for everybody else

[CAPE]

Late week storm still on the table per the 18z GEFS. I think we know its probably a light event if it happens.

[Chris78]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

The crux of that is that there are a handful of users here that have this all or nothing mentality for our snow, if we’re not getting a HECS then we’re getting nothing at all. Even though that isn’t our only way to get snow. They’re persistent enough to make that opinion the “loudest”.

Now without a HECS hitting climo is an uphill climb but a complete dead ratter when the metros had their snowiest December in nearly a decade seems to be a bit presumptuous…

I can really only think of 1 with that mentality lol

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

Late week storm still on the table per the 18z GEFS. I think we know its probably light event if it happens.

2” would make me quite happy.