CAPE Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Y'all actually doing pbp on GFS op run 10 days out? lol 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Real talk though, not a good outcome verbatim but there’s probably gonna be a monster storm affecting the eastern 1/3 of the US on or around the 8th. It’s all you can ask for 10 days out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Y'all actually doing pbp on GFS op run 10 days out? lol Nothing else going on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 4 hours ago, CAPE said: I need another bourbon. Had tequila the other night and, while I appreciate the fact that it gave me zero hangover, bourbon is still the goat imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 southern stream wave is just too quick for the phase on the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 2 minutes ago, T. August said: Real talk though, not a good outcome verbatim but there’s probably gonna be a monster storm affecting the eastern 1/3 of the US on or around the 8th. It’s all you can ask for 10 days out. Unfortunately, the Pacific 500mb doesn't change into a favorable state until mid month. (Unless models are wrong of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Just now, Solution Man said: Nothing else going on I suppose. Just watched the Falcons beat the Rams. Didn't see that coming. Stafford has been so good but not tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 So Dec 2025 will be the most negative NAO Winter month (DJFM) since December 2010! 15 years, and 60 Winter months! With the 1st half of January looking like -NAO, we may beat the record for most -NAO Winter since 2010-2011. We need -0.24 for the Winter average to have that, and through Jan 15, we will have about -1.00, meaning that we need <+0.50 for the 2nd half of Winter to have the most -NAO Winter in 15 years! Nice longer term pattern brake. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Ngl, it’s like of awesome being on west coast time. 845 here and the gfs is almost done. Looked more like a workable front end App runner than a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Just now, CAPE said: I suppose. Just watched the Falcons beat the Rams. Didn't see that coming. Stafford has been so good but not tonight. Stafford was not good, very shocking…lots of money lost tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 13 minutes ago, Ji said: Disastrous day. Good night Cmon Ji think about it this way, we just gained over an inch of rain in one run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 1 minute ago, 87storms said: Ngl, it’s like of awesome being on west coast time. 845 here and the gfs is almost done. Looked more like a workable front end App runner than a cutter. Agree, turned out ugly, but many different solutions coming. Trackable stuff 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: So Dec 2025 will be the most negative NAO Winter month (DJFM) since December 2010! 15 years, and 60 Winter months! With the 1st half of January looking like -NAO, we may beat the record for most -NAO Winter since 2010-2011. We need -0.24 for the Winter average to have that, and through Jan 15, we will have about -1.00, meaning that we need <+0.50 for the 2nd half of Winter to have the most -NAO Winter in 15 years! Nice longer term pattern brake. Enter the cooler 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Cmon Ji think about it this way, we just gained over an inch of rain in one run! Ji is having mocktails with the real housewives of Leesburg. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Unfortunately, the Pacific 500mb doesn't change into a favorable state until mid month. (Unless models are wrong of course) I don't like that +EPO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 GFS teeing another hit up. Thermals TBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Just now, Solution Man said: Agree, turned out ugly, but many different solutions coming. Trackable stuff Block broke down. HP runs away and low tracks west. No coastal redevelopment in that scenario. We got a few more runs to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 19 minutes ago, bncho said: It's going to be too warm for DC. Chuck 1-0. our goat is washed :( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 3 minutes ago, bncho said: GFS teeing another hit up. Thermals TBD We may have different definitions of "teeing up a hit". The h5 is way too large and not amplified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: We may have different definitions of "teeing up a hit". The h5 is way too large and not amplified. if i see fantasy blue over my house, i call it a hit. i have no standards lol. the GFS is a hit in my book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: Y'all actually doing pbp on GFS op run 10 days out? lol back in my day, folks would've been banned for this lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 I know that we're all chasing big dogs, but this would be a nice start to 2026 if it happens. NAM Nest and RGEM aren't as tasty as the HiRes FV3, but they all have the idea of some sort of quick-hitting band right on the front. 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 7 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: back in my day, folks would've been banned for this lol This might be the most important January since 2016. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 42 minutes ago, CAPE said: Y'all actually doing pbp on GFS op run 10 days out? lol It’s a goddamn shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 27 minutes ago, LordBaltimore said: our goat is washed Let's not forget it's the GooFuS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 18 minutes ago, high risk said: I know that we're all chasing big dogs, but this would be a nice start to 2026 if it happens. NAM Nest and RGEM aren't as tasty as the HiRes FV3, but they all have the idea of some sort of quick-hitting band right on the front. I’m down with running back January 3rd of last year. Sorta funny how that squall kicked off an active period too! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 The start of an arctic pattern if it verifies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 10 hours ago, adelphi_sky said: One of these days I will be able to snow chase like you guys. Technically I can. I'm off until the 6th. However, I JUST came back from Niagra Falls. lol Oh, and I drive a mini van. lol NIARGRA FALLS......step by step...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Overnight runs were a turd in the punch bowl after good 12 and 18z yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2025 Share Posted December 30, 2025 Overnight runs were a turd in the punch bowl after good 12 and 18z yesterday Seems to be a theme. Overnight turds before we recover during day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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