Ginx snewx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 16 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro still wants to open that 516 up too quickly. Each run though keeps it closed later and later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 44 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Inland runner? I think that’s what the comments seemed indicate. It’ll change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Not that we care about a d7 op sfc map, but that’s why I joked only 28 runs to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago That was a pretty nice euro run. Lot of chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Quite a few light/moderate events coming next week or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That was a pretty nice euro run. Lot of chances. That type of system at the end of that run is a fetish of mine. Nice branching high with good cold and precip well ahead of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, CoastalWx said: That type of system at the end of that run is a fetish of mine. Nice branching high with good cold and precip well ahead of the low. Yep. You get a prolonged overrunning and then you take advantage of a bit of conveyor that gets going as the low goes south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Well whoever was in charge of the January thaw this weekend should be on probation because it didn't get nicer out even down here in the tropics until a few hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That type of system at the end of that run is a fetish of mine. Nice branching high with good cold and precip well ahead of the low. A big overrunning WAA type of event with a huge uniform precip shield is my favorite. Like PDII was one of the best, everyone wins and i dont really care about the wind 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: This is the 4th day of 40+… Been a long time… Several more incoming after a brief mild down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Well whoever was in charge of the January thaw this weekend should be on probation because it didn't get nicer out even down here in the tropics until a few hours ago. It was evident a week ago it would basically be one or two mild days with no big warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: A big overrunning WAA type of event with a huge uniform precip shield is my favorite. Like PDII was one of the best, everyone wins and i dont really care about the wind the most uninteresting 18" of snow anyone has ever seen, and disappeared like nothing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago That was the snowiest EPS run for New England in a while. Definitely some chances throughout those two weeks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: I really don't think it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That was the snowiest EPS run for New England in a while. Definitely some chances throughout those two weeks. Absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Absolutely. Shit or get off the pot time though for having a AN snow season for anyone who averages over about 45”. If we can score even a couple 4-8” type events, that would go a long way to keeping us in the game. EPS is showing PNA trying to spoke again late month so maybe another window for a coastal there. GEFS more lukewarm on that but it does have a pretty cold look with slight SE ridging. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Shit or get off the pot time though for having a AN snow season for anyone who averages over about 45”. If we can score even a couple 4-8” type events, that would go a long way to keeping us in the game. EPS is showing PNA trying to spoke again late month so maybe another window for a coastal there. GEFS more lukewarm on that but it does have a pretty cold look with slight SE ridging. The PNA is still being undersold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That was a pretty nice euro run. Lot of chances. Lot's of negative interference... It's been plaguing the 15/16 wave space, in every guidance really since the get go. Still, the EPS mean has steadily improved - just not a chunk move - yet ... but this at least a middling impact signaled here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 17 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: the most uninteresting 18" of snow anyone has ever seen, and disappeared like nothing I dunno it's awful when its too much wind and powder, 2003 and 2005 i managed 10-15" in both and it looked like it snowed about 4-6" with bare grass showing and random 3 foot drifts. And its not like it was .25/hr for 48 hours, there was a six hour period or so there with 1-3"/hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Title of the thread should be changed IMO. "VORT 1 thoughts, first of several threats". Looking better as the models evolve in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Lot's of negative interference... It's been plaguing the 15/16 wave space, in every guidance really since the get go. Still, the EPS mean has steadily improved - just not a chunk move - yet ... but this at least a middling impact signaled here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The follow up event that is decent is probably going to have that same gradient of the last 8 years that has driven me nuts...just north of me. I'll go full-tilt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I dunno it's awful when its too much wind and powder, 2003 and 2005 i managed 10-15" in both and it looked like it snowed about 4-6" with bare grass showing and random 3 foot drifts. And its not like it was .25/hr for 48 hours, there was a six hour period or so there with 1-3"/hr Yeah that was a uniform snowfall if there ever was one, at least locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, jbenedet said: Legit arctic airmass around 18th. But looks like one of them “west is colder than north” type packages. Slight moderation as it swings East after diving south… Boston warmer than Greenville SC type deals… Could be a big deal in places like Atlanta… That is what usually happens with arctic blasts in +TNH patterns...historic cold knifes down the center of the country and we get unremarkable anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 48 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Shit or get off the pot time though for having a AN snow season for anyone who averages over about 45”. If we can score even a couple 4-8” type events, that would go a long way to keeping us in the game. EPS is showing PNA trying to spoke again late month so maybe another window for a coastal there. GEFS more lukewarm on that but it does have a pretty cold look with slight SE ridging. 49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Shit or get off the pot time though for having a AN snow season for anyone who averages over about 45”. If we can score even a couple 4-8” type events, that would go a long way to keeping us in the game. EPS is showing PNA trying to spoke again late month so maybe another window for a coastal there. GEFS more lukewarm on that but it does have a pretty cold look with slight SE ridging. Nice MJO journey at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 59 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I really don't think it matters. Of course it matters whether a closed H5 opens up quickly or stays intact. Basic meteorology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott Koziara Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: the most uninteresting 18" of snow anyone has ever seen, and disappeared like nothing you must have PD2 confused with something else. 2003 had a high moisture contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Of course it matters whether a closed H5 opens up quickly or stays intact. Basic meteorology I mean it's not a major snow either way....maybe the south coast gets 4" instead of 2"...the mositure is offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 20 minutes ago, Scott Koziara said: you must have PD2 confused with something else. 2003 had a high moisture contest. Don't confuse QPF with LE in the snowfall...it was a dry snow just off of the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10 minutes ago, Scott Koziara said: you must have PD2 confused with something else. 2003 had a high moisture contest. 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Don't confuse QPF with LE is the snowfall...it was a dry snow just off of the coast. Yeah it was a fluffy, dry snow. Though I was probably incorrect with 18, pretty sure we had 24" in North Attleboro. Zero drifting. Great storm and all, but wasn't awe-inspiring or exciting. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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