January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I have been bust with the fam past day or so, but I did catch wind of a slower evolution and got a but tingly in my nether region....but lots to digest this week.

Butt tingles, huh…

[dendrite]

4th straight morning clearing snow

6.7°

[dendrite]

That euro suite is definitely intriguing…a lot more ridging in the northeast. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

My Butt tingles every time I see  a bruh…

Well, Amwx is an inclusive, judgement free zone.

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, Amwx is an inclusive, judgement free zone.

Hey you said it… 

[Go Kart Mozart]

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I have been busy with the fam past day or so, but I did catch wind of a slower evolution and got a but tingly in my nether region....but lots to digest this week.

Exactly 4" more than Methuen.

[jbenedet]

The surface high is intensifying over our heads on guidance. 
 

I’d call it Canadian but it’s over our head throughout. Filling in for Quebec..

Great news for our southern neighbors who love snow

[SouthCoastMA]

1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

The surface high is intensifying over our heads on guidance. 
 

I’d call it Canadian but it’s over our head throughout. Filling in for Quebec..

Great news for our southern neighbors who love snow

Might be some ocean effect along EMA with that look

[40/70 Benchmark]

Jesus, I have never seen DT so amped up...telling people prepare to have the kids out of school all week...looking at snow maps and saying "OMG, I hope that doesn't verify"....I'm thinking "you're so full of shit"

[jbenedet]

More ridging but stronger surface high and positive tilt. 

I think the trend on overnight guidance was to load up this already-explosive setup by tightening the delta between the arctic and the tropics.

 

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think every major model gives at least some snow to SNE now…evolution and timing vary. 

Great news.  Wake me if they start showing Maine.  

[Snowcrazed71]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just saw the 6z euro and euro AI. I kind of like that look.

Well the pope still doesn't see it happening at all. He is all in on it staying south and being a DC event. From what I'm seeing, even from the professionals, there's a very good shot of it coming up, at least in a sudden New England

[jbenedet]

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Might be some ocean effect along EMA with that look

You are in a spot worth watching for something more than advisory. But odds go way down just north of you imo.

Watch the mid level height field compress out of New Brunswick over time; with more of a -NAO tapestry in the east.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Jesus, I have never seen DT so amped up...telling people prepare to have the kids out of school all week...looking at snow maps and saying "OMG, I hope that doesn't verify"....I'm thinking "you're so full of shit"

He's been unhinged for years 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

More ridging but stronger surface high and positive tilt. 

I think the trend on overnight guidance was to load up this already-explosive setup by tightening the delta between the arctic and the tropics.

 

Yea, I'm not enthused......I don't see how big snow gets into my area. Easy for folks who live in CT to bun me, but I just don't see it. Man, I just can not win....when it snows in NNE, I'm part of SNE....but when it snows down south, I'm NNE....just a boning in every fu(king direction....just not sure what it will take, at this point.

[jbenedet]

1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Well the pope still doesn't see it happening at all. He is all in on it staying south and being a DC event. From what I'm seeing, even from the professionals, there's a very good shot of it coming up, at least in a sudden New England

No. I have said I80 south is in line for the heavy snows. I’m sticking to that. Basically NYC/LI south.

definitely stay very interested in southern coast, out to south coast MA

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

No. I have said I80 south is in line for the heavy snows. I’m sticking to that. Basically NYC/LI south.

definitely stay very interested in southern coast, out to south coast MA

Agree.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

No. I have said I80 south is in line for the heavy snows. I’m sticking to that. Basically NYC/LI south.

definitely stay very interested in southern coast, out to south coast MA

This is eerily similar to that blizzard a few years ago where you had no snow into New England in the face of all guidance and modeling . This too is coming 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Still a long shot though. I’d like to start seeing other guidance more bullish. The euro depiction itself was totally different from 12z and not really hinted by other guidance.

I would like to see the energy hang back more and  give that vortex more time to GTFO, at least to some extent...

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I'm not enthused......I don't see how big snow gets into my area. Easy for folks who live in CT to bun me, but I just don't see it. Man, I just can not win....when it snows in NNE, I'm part of SNE....but when it snows down south, I'm NNE....just a boning in every fu(king direction....just not sure what it will take, at this point.

Move to Worcester.. They get every storm 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

This is eerily similar to that blizzard a few years ago where you had no snow into New England in the face of all guidance and modeling . This too is coming 

December 2020...the one where Dendrite got 40".

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

December 2020...the one where Dendrite got 40".

I don’t think it was that one. It was a January blizzard I think 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Move to Worcester.. They get every storm 

Only problem with that is the Mass pike is the only thing I hate more than getting boned on snow. I work in Chelsea...

[Sey-Mour Snow]

12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Jesus, I have never seen DT so amped up...telling people prepare to have the kids out of school all week...looking at snow maps and saying "OMG, I hope that doesn't verify"....I'm thinking "you're so full of shit"

I feel bad, bc we know there's a 50% chance the jack ends up north over DC and he gets 3" of freezing rain .. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I don’t think it was that one. It was a January blizzard I think 

It was that one....he was saying nothing NH, then they got that huge band and he disappeared.

[jbenedet]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Jesus, I have never seen DT so amped up...telling people prepare to have the kids out of school all week...looking at snow maps and saying "OMG, I hope that doesn't verify"....I'm thinking "you're so full of shit"

As much as I dislike DT…

Seeing a 994 low off the east coast doesn’t get ya excited but if the delta is with a 1040+ mb arctic high less than 500 miles away…….

It’s a big dawg.

 

[ORH_wxman]

34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Just saw the 6z euro and euro AI. I kind of like that look.

Yeah this is actually a pretty nice look

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, jbenedet said:

As much as I dislike DT…

Seeing a 994 low off the east coast doesn’t get ya excited but if the delta is with a 1040+ mb arctic high less than 500 miles away…….

It’s a big dawg.

 

I get it...I'd be stoked in VA.

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I feel bad, bc we know there's a 50% chance the jack ends up north over DC and he gets 3" of freezing rain .. 

If there's more phasing and a stronger SE ridge then that's very possible especially this far out where things are still trending 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

If there's more phasing and a stronger SE ridge then that's very possible especially this far out where things are still trending 

He did say that was possible.