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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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20 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There was a solid 6-12” storm in November of 89 I believe . I remember distinctly being in high school . There was a follow up storm that was forecast to be more heavy snow and ended being zr to heavy rain and when we woke up the next morning, the snow was completely wiped out . I’m bad on specific years . There was also a Veterans Day snowfall in the late 80’s

Both of those were Swiss cheese storms on the maps...both haves and have nots...There was a storm before the big Feb 83 event in January that year that I think was pretty solid 195 N and W

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9 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I mean, I might start pushing if I have to hear how great this winter has been in CT one more time.

We get it, there was a good storm there. Apparently that’s going to play for the rest of the winter :lol:

"Great"?

Let me know when the great begins for me as I must have missed the first round of great.

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I will say, the ability of mother nature to cram every orifice from just about every angle with a multitude of home improvement appliances this decade has been impressive. La Nina (mostly), El Nino, -AO, +AO, - NAO, +NAO, +PNA, -PNA, +EPO, -EPO, -WPO, +WPO, cold, warm...the one constant has been a remarkable dearth of snowfall anywhere within about 50 miles of the ocean, east of I 495 and south of rt 2 in SNE. The only good news is that we have paid our dues.....20's, 50's, 80's, 2020's......get it out of the way now and hopefully not have to grab my ankles for 10 consecutive years again until I'm no longer lucid enough to realize how badly it sucks.

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3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m still thinking more mid month for anything that is sustainable. Maybe it’s two days earlier, whatever. I think we will be playing with fire regarding SE ridging, but at this point I think we’ll risk that with better QPF events vs these D-1” crap bag events.

Totally.....I would much rather worry about precip type, then watch Kev rejoice over the 2" every 3 days.

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Pattern does not look overly favorable to me . I think most here are all set with mild in the winter which other than NNE doesn’t offer much snow chance. Actually reminds me of last winter somewhat after the 11th

Yea, I think it will be like that early February stretch, but will probably last longer.

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, I think it will be like that early February stretch, but will probably last longer.

Feb looks warm ish . I’m not getting a great feeling moving forward. I’ve been perfectly content with what we’ve had the last month . I had this same uneasy feeling last winter. Hopefully it’s wrong 

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1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Over 30 is still well shy of the seasonal average...

Well shy, but I'm just saying, it's not doubtful that we are going to get a decent stretch or three along the way because we only have 8.5" now. :lol:. We could get 30" more and it would still be a terrible season in the aggregate.

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34 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Jesus...most deterministic guidance (I know) has about 1-2" of snowfall here through the 20th....if that were to ever happen, it's going to be difficult to reach climo around here....that would put me at around 10" approaching February.

Ya would like to see ensembles catch on to some sort of threat soon for next week, looks awfully (not-snowy) for a solid pattern around mid month.. 

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i am as ACATT as they come, but not this week. I really need to get some temps above freezing, as my driveway is still glare ice from the shit last week, whatever day that was. I've been able to get away without having to sand/salt it, but it is terrifying walking on it right now. i took a little digger yesterday as I was cleaning the nuisance 1/2" off it (with the hope that the sun would melt it a bit). So far all that the sun is doing is melting the top layer just enough so it melts then refreezes to an even smoother surface then it was. 

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8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Feb looks warm ish . I’m not getting a great feeling moving forward. I’ve been perfectly content with what we’ve had the last month . I had this same uneasy feeling last winter. Hopefully it’s wrong 

Well, last February wasn't really warm....I don't think this February will torch, either.....the cold from latter January will likely spill into February, then warm up for a time, but the stratosphere this year is a lot more favorable for a later ending than it was last season. If you recall, I was all over a fast end last season...I don't see that this year. No guarantees, but the cards are stacked more in our favor this year to drag winter out.

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4 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

i am as ACATT as they come, but not this week. I really need to get some temps above freezing, as my driveway is still glare ice from the shit last week, whatever day that was. I've been able to get away without having to sand/salt it, but it is terrifying walking on it right now. i took a little digger yesterday as I was cleaning the nuisance 1/2" off it (with the hope that the sun would melt it a bit). So far all that the sun is doing is melting the top layer just enough so it melts then refreezes to an even smoother surface then it was. 

I haven't touched the last two 1/4"ers.....my driveway is in the shade, so half of it has just kind of sublimated away.

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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well shy, but I'm just saying, it's not doubtful that we are going to get a decent stretch or three along the way because we only have 8.5" now. :lol:. We could get 30" more and it would still be a terrible season in the aggregate.

I've measured less than 8.5. ....likely going to enter the  last 1/3rd of January with well below normal snowfall..

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Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

I've measured less than 8.5. ....likely going to enter the  last 1/3rd of January with well below normal snowfall..

Yea, IDK....the seasonal map that I have seen posted has us at about exactly 8.5", as well....either you undermeasured a bit, or your street got porked. :lol:

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54 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Jesus...most deterministic guidance (I know) has about 1-2" of snowfall here through the 20th....if that were to ever happen, it's going to be difficult to reach climo around here....that would put me at around 10" approaching February.

Jeez, thought you have more. 

Im just under 9 inches for the season down here.

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