Monty Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 25 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: thank you and sorry didn't mean to sound like i'm educating, I was just stating the obvious that there is always a possibility of a phase! I am not young i'm an old weather geek tbh and ive been following this board for 15 years already and I decided to make an account. Have a good weekend sir Sorry I misjudged you. Free country and I'm not a mod, but I still think for the sake of the conversation being interesting and focused for everyone just think before you hit "post." Everyone knows the range of outcomes without you stating the far fetched obvious. ✌️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 31 minutes ago, Monty said: Sorry I misjudged you. Free country and I'm not a mod, but I still think for the sake of the conversation being interesting and focused for everyone just think before you hit "post." Everyone knows the range of outcomes without you stating the far fetched obvious. ✌️ You didn't misjudge our old friend Tony. This is prob his 20th account. He's like herpies, we just can't get rid of him. I'll take his ridiculous overoptimism over Krs4Lfe and his stuck on repeat doom and gloom bs. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 51 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: its a message board; don't take it personally. you'd probably be friends in the real world, because there aren't many out there who enjoy snow....not in these parts. 45 minutes ago, Monty said: Sorry I misjudged you. Free country and I'm not a mod, but I still think for the sake of the conversation being interesting and focused for everyone just think before you hit "post." Everyone knows the range of outcomes without you stating the far fetched obvious. ✌️ 11 minutes ago, Rjay said: You didn't misjudge our old friend Tony. This is prob his 20th account. He's like herpies, we just can't get rid of him. I'll take his ridiculous overoptimism over Krs4Lfe and his stuck on repeat doom and gloom bs. nothing but love for everyone on here and i respect all of your passion all around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 13 minutes ago, Rjay said: You didn't misjudge our old friend Tony. This is prob his 20th account. He's like herpies, we just can't get rid of him. I'll take his ridiculous overoptimism over Krs4Lfe and his stuck on repeat doom and gloom bs. Honestly I thought someone split LibertyBell down the middle with an axe and krs and geek were the two halves 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 hour ago, Monty said: Honestly I thought someone split LibertyBell down the middle with an axe and krs and geek were the two halves Not even two people working overtime could possibly meet the same astronomical number of posts that guy was capable of. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 hours ago, Rjay said: You didn't misjudge our old friend Tony. This is prob his 20th account. He's like herpies, we just can't get rid of him. I'll take his ridiculous overoptimism over Krs4Lfe and his stuck on repeat doom and gloom bs. laughing my butt off. some funny stuff here tonight. we need a storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Gfs going be a coastal hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs going be a coastal hit wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: wowwwws BLIZZARD This is why having a positive PNA is important. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 52 now. Summah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is why having a positive PNA is important. that don't look bad at all. Wish we could slow it down a little more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 18 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is why having a positive PNA is important. What a crazy evolution that would be. Volatile weather pattern. Will see rapid run to run changes most likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is why having a positive PNA is important. snowman19 only responding in emojis? Why, what happened? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Totally opposing solutions GFS and Canadian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: What a crazy evolution that would be. Volatile weather pattern. Will see rapid run to run changes most likely. Yep more changes ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, MJO812 said: Yep more changes ahead Doesn't mean it will snow though. A CMC depiction is more likely. In fact until the MJO circles back around I wouldn't be surprised to see little snowfall until late Jan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Doesn't mean it will snow though. A CMC depiction is more likely. In fact until the MJO circles back around I wouldn't be surprised to see little snowfall until late Jan. Thats only part of the equation much more complicated than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Ukie is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Ukie is rain Ukie is different than both the GFS and Canadian - would like to be under "hood" of these models and see what info - collected data- is being fed into them and how they are programmed to handle it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 23 minutes ago, Cobalt said: snowman19 only responding in emojis? Why, what happened? He loves weenies and is a limited poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I don’t think this is our storm. Too early for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago For anyone wondering why each models output is so different - here it is AI Overview No, different weather models don't get the exact same data, and even with similar data, they interpret it differently due to unique physics equations, algorithms, resolution, and data assimilation methods, leading to varied forecasts, which is why meteorologists use multiple models for confidence. While core data (satellites, balloons) is shared, how each model processes it (initialization, grid size, physics) creates distinct outputs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 8 minutes ago, psv88 said: I don’t think this is our storm. Too early for us. Yeah it really would be...ahem...threading the needle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah it really would be...ahem...threading the needle at this point it is not possible to determine which model solution if any of them will be close to verifying - but there are vast differences in solutions now past 5 days - until a couple of them get to the point of basic agreement - confidence will increase probably in another 2 or 3 days. It was amazing though how far in advance they agreed on the current systems moving through especially the cold front sweeping across the nation scheduled to pass later Sunday - they had that solution for several days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The Euro AI solution is closest to the GFS except it doesn't become a wrapped up bomb along the coast like the GFS and lacking the dynamics to draw in the colder air to produce frozen it is mainly rain right along the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Nothing to show at all on the 0Z Euro - no snowfall and little precip after this weekend throughout the entire run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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