Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[mahantango#1]

[pasnownut]

nooner GFS keeps hope alive.  ticked notably W with SLP and 500s a bit more neg tilt. 

A nice step back towards something, and not away from it.

 

[Mount Joy Snowman]

10 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

nooner GFS keeps hope alive.  ticked notably W with SLP and 500s a bit more neg tilt. 

A nice step back towards something, and not away from it.

 

Yep, and so did the Canadian.  Lord knows we are in that period where the models love to seesaw.  Fun times ahead.

[Superstorm]

73" in tidewater area on the Canadian.

[pasnownut]

31 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

73" in tidewater area on the Canadian.

I'm just happy to see that we have a chance, and that while not a lock, it surely is something that could pad stats and get trainer to give our region the A grade that we have wanted for a long time.  CMC was a notable step back twds something appreciable.  

With so much energy/vorts to sort, I'd imagine we still have a day or 2 of notable swings/misses to sort out until players take the field (conus).

[Itstrainingtime]

30 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I'm just happy to see that we have a chance, and that while not a lock, it surely is something that could pad stats and get trainer to give our region the A grade that we have wanted for a long time.  CMC was a notable step back twds something appreciable.  

With so much energy/vorts to sort, I'd imagine we still have a day or 2 of notable swings/misses to sort out until players take the field (conus).

73" would at least get us to an A-. 

  

[Ruin]

it be really nice if they told us just once why models waffle from 1 run to the next

[Voyager]

3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

73" would at least get us to an A-. 

  

I agree. 73° would give it an A-

Oh wait, you're talking about seasonal snow...my bad. 

[Itstrainingtime]

1 minute ago, Voyager said:

I agree. 73° would give it an A-

Oh wait, you're talking about seasonal snow...my bad. 

Actually, no...I was talking about getting 73" from the next storm alone! (The 12z CMC showed a bullseye of 73" over the Delmarva)

[Voyager]

54 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Actually, no...I was talking about getting 73" from the next storm alone! (The 12z CMC showed a bullseye of 73" over the Delmarva)

Oh wow! I missed that. The model sites are difficult to navigate on a phone and I'm at work.

I guess I could get on board for an historical event of that kind of magnitude.

[canderson]

Looking like up to 1” heavy rain tonight.  Worry about ice jams is rising . 

[AccuChris]

Man, this is so close to being something special per the 18z GFS


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[Blizzard of 93]

8 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

Man, this is so close to being something special per the 18z GFS


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Where do we sign up for the 18z GFS to please verify for Sunday?

[Superstorm]

Now it’s time to track


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[mahantango#1]

From DT:

THIS WEEK IN WX VIDEO TONIGHT

 

  LETS MONGER ABOUT SUNDAY MONDAY POSSIBLE EAST COAST WINTER STORM

 

Just to give you all a clue…..Yesterday and again this morning and again this evening. NOAA/ NWS flew reconnaissance aircraft into the eastern Pacific to get a better sampling of the upper atmosphere and to make up for the loss of data from closure of several key weather stations in the upper planes in Midwest, which used to end up with the balloons to gather information about the atmosphere.

 

The fact that the national weather service had to send out extra planes into the eastern, pacific to gather this data speaks to how badly the overall weather models have performed recently because of the lack of information from the weather stations that have been partially shut down in the upper Midwest.

 

Guess what happened when they flew those planes and gather the extra data? They were a huge changes in what the models are showing is going to happen for Sunday Monday. Full details and discussion tonight on the weather video around 1030pm