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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs


MAG5035
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I guess it's due partly to the strength of the new low forming offshore and the timing of the phase but in a couple images I can show you whats stopping this from being a top 5 storm most likely. That dry air pours in during handoff shutting our preceiptitation off early Monday. The coastal doesn't really get going or does far too late due to the progressive nature and timing. I think some of the bigger totals like 24" plus were due to everything happening earlier and the phase being stronger allowing coastal to spin up. Yes we would definitely still dry slot some, and sleet might be an issue for a bit but the ccb makes those minor incidents for those lucky enough to be under it, although I'd wager at least 5 pages of doom posting during lull from those who a few hours later would be posting in ecstasy Screenshot_2026-01-21_195519.jpgScreenshot_2026-01-21_195536.jpg

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3 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Anytime brother.  I'm also the recognizable Green beat classic 97 s10 always at rutters.

I just work in that area, reside in Dillsburg. Would definitely be nice to meet up if we get this storm, as I am sure to be refueling the plow truck and diesel cans for the skid steer. Cheers to a hopefully historic storm!

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16 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

I guess it's due partly to the strength of the new low forming offshore and the timing of the phase but in a couple images I can show you whats stopping this from being a top 5 storm most likely. That dry air pours in during handoff shutting our preceiptitation off early Monday. The coastal doesn't really get going or does far too late due to the progressive nature and timing. I think some of the bigger totals like 24" plus were due to everything happening earlier and the phase being stronger allowing coastal to spin up. Yes we would definitely still dry slot some, and sleet might be an issue for a bit but the ccb makes those minor incidents for those lucky enough to be under it, although I'd wager at least 5 pages of doom posting during lull from those who a few hours later would be posting in ecstasy Screenshot_2026-01-21_195519.jpgScreenshot_2026-01-21_195536.jpg

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That last sentence is truthful and hilarious...!

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21 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Some map porn, why not20260121_204222.jpg

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flash backs to that candy disco map of many years ago said to be a mother of all storms tripe phaser and ended up not happening and it was sunny and in the 40s lol

 

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2 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

0z NAM had some changes to the southern vort energy but it looked just slower to me as a whole, as the northern branch was slow too. Regardless, a ton of QPF with this one and party is just starting for our area at the end of its run9b5933b7a7a22b12f17fd3ce60bfb2f4.png
56546fdf206ae8041c63ffadee6333be.png
fcf2d970a7b2b334c44341617358e94d.png


.

Look at all the moisture to the west Wow! 

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1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I’m already getting exhausted tracking this beast & we are just entering NAM range now. I’ve been hunting this chance for almost a week. 
This could be a memorable high ranking storm for southern PA if all tracks properly.

Are you including south central PA to that? :D

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15 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I’m already getting exhausted tracking this beast & we are just entering NAM range now. I’ve been hunting this chance for almost a week. 
This could be a memorable high ranking storm for southern PA if all tracks properly.

You can't give up on this now, we're so close. You gotta close this one out just like Mendoza did on Monday night with a win.

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3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

You can't give up on this now, we're so close. You gotta close this one out just like Mendoza did on Monday night with a win.

Lol, I just said that I am exhausted from relentlessly tracking this storm for days, I am not giving up, but just acknowledging that I’m tired and need to rest up for the upcoming show.

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