Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Ruin]

21 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here are CTP’s thoughts for tomorrow.

By the mid to late afternoon (New Years Eve), a wave of low
pressure will drift eastward across the Great Lakes, and drag an
Arctic front south through the Commonwealth. Underneath a
favorable left exit region of an upper jet, this front could
produce a threat of snow squalls late Wednesday evening into the
New Year. Current expectation is that the front and associated
snow squall threat will move into northwest PA in the 6-8PM
timeframe and then race southeast, crossing the I-99 corridor
between 10PM and midnight and then getting into the Lower
Susquehanna Valley between midnight and 2AM. Anyone planning
to travel for the New Year should be prepared for the risk of
snow squalls. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued, delay travel
or exit the highway at the next opportunity.

This is my problem they change a forecast 30 times before the day happens and say they are accurate. 

[Ruin]

51 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

My "issue" with MU is all about the tone in his messages. It seems like he's aggressively defending his warm-biased ideas. He's always been a warm weather guy but he's never been so brazen about it. It feels like he's been getting some sort of negative feedback and is fighting back. Whatever it is, it's not a good look.

Many many mets have a warm bias 

[WmsptWx]

[Jns2183]

Was  this an actual environmental sample from the 880s , or modeled, and what time?  

Dual pol radar velocity measurements via radarscope using distance radius tool which helpfully includes beam height with distance with passing line

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