The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm

[SnowenOutThere]

WWA hoisted to include both metros. Lets reel this one in!

[bncho]

HRRR is a tick better than 12z

[Solution Man]

Just now, bncho said:

HRRR is a tick better than 12z

Noise at this point

[WEATHER53]

2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

This is going to continue to get better as 30.15 baro not suppressive.  It’s going to rise some as next 18 hours progresses but I think 30.35 is the peak and that’s closer to perfection than suppression 

Got to admit it’s getting better .  Getting better all the time-won’t get no worse.

 

[mappy]

6 minutes ago, Pityflakes said:

Ha.  Meant to say have NOT pulled the trigger... Posted this just before they did, apparently.  

Ha I didn’t even realize you posted before they did pull the trigger 

[Solution Man]

WWA expanded north and west and east into D.C. up to Btown

 

[stormtracker]

Well...we got our first WWA.  So there's that.  I guess.  

Seriously, I will be genuinely happy to see snow falling tomorrow.  Not expecting much.

Congrats @Terpeast  Hopefully the skies will open and puke snow on you and the new family.   Also, sign that kid up for the weather board now so I know who to bully when he starts posting.

[yoda]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Well...we got our first WWA.  So there's that.  I guess.  

Seriously, I will be genuinely happy to see snow falling tomorrow.  Not expecting much.

Congrats @Terpeast  Hopefully the skies will open and puke snow on you and the new family.   Also, sign that kid up for the weather board now so I know who to bully when he starts posting.

Is DadAteMyShoe available?

[yoda]

I'll take zwyts favorite model the 18z RAP to go please... snow still falling at the end of the run - though probably only for another hour or two after and its pretty light 

2" reaches DC metro 

[Ji]

19 minutes ago, bncho said:

HRRR is a tick better than 12z

tick this

[yoda]

Snow in DC metro by 3am on 18z NAM 

[LP08]

NAM looks pretty good.

[yoda]

1 minute ago, LP08 said:

NAM looks pretty good.

Going by qpf field... looks like another norther jog comparing 18z at 15 hours to 12z at 21 hours

At least 30 miles 

[LP08]

1 minute ago, yoda said:

Going by qpf field... looks like another norther jog comparing 18z at 15 hours to 12z at 21 hours

Definitely, snow up to the MD line.

[Imgoinhungry]

Going by qpf field... looks like another norther jog comparing 18z at 15 hours to 12z at 21 hours
At least 30 miles 

Agreed. Frederick may be in the game tomorrow


.

[BristowWx]

21 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

WWA expanded north and west and east into D.C. up to Btown

 

Just walked the dog…it’s cold..not our normal late fall cool it feels like that dry snow cold.  In early December this is a gift for us. 

[yoda]

Looks like just a smidgen over 0.2" QPF at DCA on 18z parent NAM 

[LP08]

3k pretty nice as well. Looking good for an 1"

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

Just walked the dog…it’s cold..not our normal late fall cool it feels like that dry snow cold.  In early December this is a gift for us. 

Damn right, you can feel it

[yoda]

Still light snow around at hr 24

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, yoda said:

Looks like just a smidgen over 0.2" QPF at DCA on 18z NAM 

[yoda]

Maybe add an extra hundredth lol... but this is the QPF from 18z NAM

 

[Paleocene]

4 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Just walked the dog…it’s cold..not our normal late fall cool it feels like that dry snow cold.  In early December this is a gift for us. 

Agreed! I wasn't even really ready to get in to storm tracking mode and I find it hard hard to believe we'll see any accumulation. But it looks like it's coming.

[yoda]

10:1 18z NAM 

 

Kuchera for fun

 

 

[WEATHER53]

2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

To me this configuration is when the high is over central PA/southern  NY State and pressing downward north to south.  In fact this set up reminds me of one Wes and me analyzed a lot 5-10 years ago where the high was more  like over central NJ with a moistening easterly flow and the main area kinda got ground to a halt, after clearing the mountains, by the high and we picked up a very uprising 4-6”!

I don’t think the precip gets out of here as early as 9-11am.  Probably lingers through mid  afternoon 

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, yoda said:

10:1 18z NAM 

 

Kuchera for fun

 

 

Maybe I’ll get some sympathy flurries 

[ravensrule]

23 minutes ago, yoda said:

I'll take zwyts favorite model the 18z RAP to go please... snow still falling at the end of the run - though probably only for another hour or two after and its pretty light 

2" reaches DC metro 

We want MATT back. @stormtrackerright the injustice. It's a travesty he isn't here tracking snow with us. We want him back. 

[yoda]

I am currently playing this game in the background 

 

 

[WEATHER53]

3 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

We want MATT back. @stormtrackerright the injustice. It's a travesty he isn't here tracking snow with us. We want him back. 

I did not know he was deliberately away

what happened?