Discussion OBS for minor to possibly moderate impact winter storm interior 4A Tue - midnight Tue 12/2/25, may bring first measurable snow-sleet to coastal areas including NYC

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

18Z Nam is saying way north of Yonkers till it snows

wow that's crazy nevermind my prediction will be way off! oh well onto the next one

[snywx]

3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

18Z Nam is saying way north of Yonkers till it snows - closer to Albany

At hr78 it has a 988 parked over HFD. lol gotta love the NAM 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

18Z Nam is saying way north of Yonkers till it snows - closer to Albany

So much for thinking a mere  24 hours ago I was pretty safe in Orange County from any change over. 
 

The bright side I will be in Saratoga Springs on Wednesday and should at least see a nice blanket of snow on the ground there. But it's weather three days out, so who knows. 

[NEG NAO]

4 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

So much for thinking a mere  24 hours ago I was pretty safe in Orange County from any change over. 
 

The bright side I will be in Saratoga Springs on Wednesday and should at least see a nice blanket of snow on the ground there. But it's weather three days out, so who knows. 

now watch the next Euro's suite only bring the precip as far north as southern NY state - something is seriously wrong with some of these models..........is it GIGO (Garbage In/Garbage Out)??

[ForestHillWx]

The NAM always amps, especially the 18z. Not saying it’s going to snow in the city proper or LI, but North Jersey, especially Sussex, is in the game in my opinion. 

The 500 map Forky posted days ago seemed to argue this could shred and exit stage right, not cut. But time will tell.