First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Is MLK coming ? Be honest 

Have to get through Christmas and New Year's first.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Is MLK coming ? Be honest 

I feel like we beat this to a pulp enough already. You’re definitely close to the line. I’d feel most comfortable right now from about Worcester to say Salem New Hampshire on North and West. Didn’t say that on purpose for Ray, but he may be close to the line too. 
 

if the euro is right, maybe shift that south 25 miles or so.

[Johnno]

21 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Don't you have 24 hours? That's what most towns are.  And LOL at the name showing 6 to 8 inches in westfield, but none in Simsbury where I'm covering my friend's plow route. Definitely won't happen because I'm really not looking forward to plowing this storm

First time in 25 years I have no plowing to do besides my own driveway and shop yard! Can’t wait to throw a log on the fire and watch it snow 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I feel like we beat this to a pulp enough already. You’re definitely close to the line. I’d feel most comfortable right now from about Worcester to say Salem New Hampshire on North and West. Didn’t say that on purpose for Ray, but he may be close to the line too. 
 

if the euro is right, maybe shift that south 25 miles or so.

So basically there’s a fair chance we see nothing here . This is going end badly 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So basically there’s a fair chance we see nothing here . This is going end badly 

 Nice try to pull more info out of Me.  
 

I think I would be surprised if you were skunked.

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So basically there’s a fair chance we see nothing here . This is going end badly 

Lots of time for this to shift.....don't sweat it yet.  You might get more than I.

[Baroclinic Zone]

The differences between the Euro and GFS handling of the upper Midwest shortwave appear to be what’s causing the subtle track differences. GFS has 2 distinct areas of vorticity and the northern one remains stronger longer, while the  Euro consolidates all this energy sooner and further south.. There is also a trailing piece of energy that is intensifying as it’s digging east and south that impacts the system as it exits the coast.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So basically there’s a fair chance we see nothing here . This is going end badly 

As I said earlier..torture yourself if you must.
 

My call….you get 6”, I get 3-4” here. But maybe we both get white rain?  That’s also a possibility. 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Lots of time for this to shift.....don't sweat it yet.  You might get more than I.

I think I know how this goes. BDL will get 5-6” I’ll get a slushy mess and rain at 32.8. I can see it and am so irritated 

[78Blizzard]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I feel like we beat this to a pulp enough already. You’re definitely close to the line. I’d feel most comfortable right now from about Worcester to say Salem New Hampshire on North and West. Didn’t say that on purpose for Ray, but he may be close to the line too. 
 

if the euro is right, maybe shift that south 25 miles or so.

If the Euro is right, it looks like 50-75 miles south.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think I know how this goes. BDL will get 5-6” I’ll get a slushy mess and rain at 32.8. I can see it and am so irritated 

I thought you said this had an elevation aspect to it?  You should do better than BDL if that’s true.  Or are you thinking west is better now? 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

If the Euro is right, it looks like 50-75 miles south.

Ignore the clown maps

[UnitedWx]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think I know how this goes. BDL will get 5-6” I’ll get a slushy mess and rain at 32.8. I can see it and am so irritated 

Or Bradley could be white rain and I'm dumping up here. We just don't know. Did you run out of beer?

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Ignore the clown maps

So what’s your call bro currently..for SNE? 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I thought you said this had an elevation aspect to it?  You should do better than BDL if that’s true.  Or are you thinking west is better now? 

It does which is why ORH hills will jack . Most of CT is going to warm above 32 aloft . At least EOR. I actually could see you getting more than me. These favor W/ NW CT

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

Or Bradley could be white rain and I'm dumping up here. We just don't know. Did you run out of beer?

I’ve got 40-50 IPA’s in garage fridge. All will be drank if its a rainer here Tuesday 

[CoastalWx]

Gfs is a huge hit from about 495 N and W. On the line for Kev.

[Kitz Craver]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think I know how this goes. BDL will get 5-6” I’ll get a slushy mess and rain at 32.8. I can see it and am so irritated 

BDL is a snow hole,  not gonna happen that way

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It does which is why ORH hills will jack . Most of CT is going to warm above 32 aloft . At least EOR. I actually could see you getting more than me. These favor W/ NW CT

We have the important time coming up now…let’s see how this goes from here bro. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

18z GFS crushes this area up thru Ray

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs is a huge hit from about 495 N and W. On the line for Kev.

any chance this trends south and whiffs?

[H2Otown_WX]

I think in the NYC thread they mentioned 12/5/09 as a potential analog. Seems like a pretty good fit if you toss the Euro.

[Damage In Tolland]

I’m so angry I could spit. 

[dendrite]

20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Icon bumped south a bit

Ens are still more nw. For whatever that’s worth.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Flips CT over to rain pretty quickly

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m so angry I could spit. 

I\m hoping the Euro holds for your area

[Torch Tiger]

18z gfs too warm here.

[dendrite]

Nice run. Yes please. That would probably last on the ground until Xmas eve.

[moneypitmike]

 

Congrats

[kdxken]