December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[WinterWolf]

36 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

There are 16 days left with a volatile pattern evolving. Way way to early to throw in the snow towel for this month.Way way too much cold around. 

 

The junkies don't see their next fix and are jonesin hours after the last flake fell. This place is bonkers 

It is.  
 

Weymouth flips out with each run of the models now…he’s one of the biggest Debbie’s going. Posts a week 4 map lol…wtf happened to that guy?  36 hrs ago he was saying how good it looks. I know…he’s had kevins craftsman run into his cheeks, but my god what a mess he is.
 

It’s gonna ebb and flow…watch SNE end up with more snow the second half, than the first. Wouldn’t take much…but he’s saying good by to winter with a week 4 map.  Pathetic.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

It is.  
 

Weymouth flips out with each run of the models now…he’s one of the biggest Debbie’s going. Posts a week 4 map lol…wtf happened to that guy?  36 hrs ago he was saying how good it looks. I know…he’s had kevins craftsman run into his cheeks, but my god what a mess he is.
 

It’s gonna ebb and flow…watch SNE end up with more snow the second half, than the first. Wouldn’t take much…but he’s saying good by to winter with a week 4 map.  Pathetic.  

I didn't get that impression...

[WinterWolf]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I didn't get that impression...

I did…maybe I misunderstood too then?  But whatever. Might be time for me to spend less time here for a little while. 

[SouthCoastMA]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Will has disappeared-

You know that that means....

Will not posting and/or Dryslot doing model pbp are my two biggest weather bugaboos. close the shades type events. 

[Typhoon Tip]

19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The sequence this December has summed up my climo since 2018....this exact sequence. 12/2 nailed areas JUST to my north....like legit 3-5 miles, then the mid atlantic gets a couple, followed a closer graze that nails southern portions of the region. Now we flip back to a NNE pattern that will focus north of me. Just relentlessly frustrating, aside from maybe 3 days....1/7/2024, 2/1/2021 and 12/6?/2019. I get something from both extremes, so I avoid the cellar seasons that SOP has gotten, but have an unmatched streak of overall futility (7 consecutive seasons of greater than 10" below average and counting).

Again ... setting expectations proportional to what is becoming (otherwise) too painfully clear to ignore, will do wonders for ameliorating one's angst.  When the flow slows, it's too warm to snow - or tends to be.  I've learned to just know this will result - and I've been right more often then not.  I feel no distraction.    

Acceptance will set you free!   

Related to that ... I was looking at the 300+ hr Euro and that's remarkable.   570 dm heights over the EPO domain, almost that high over the eastern limb of the NAO domain, and the flow in between spanning the continent is compressed at the nadir.  So much so it's intrinsically a +velocity-related negative interference pattern.   So it's like yeah ... there's cold around ( still - ) but getting it to 40N, here we are again.  Seeing so without this negative result has been rarefying.   

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Again ... setting expectations proportional to what is becoming (otherwise) too painfully clear to ignore, will do wonders for ameliorating one's angst.  When flow slows, it's too warm to snow - or tends to be.     

Acceptance will set you free!   

Related to that ... I was looking at the 300+ hr Euro and that's remarkable.   570 dm heights over the EPO domain, almost that high over the eastern limb of the NAO domain, and the flow in between spanning the continent is compressed at the nadir.  So much so it's intrinsically a +velocity-related negative interference pattern.   So it's like yeah ... there's cold around ( still - ) but getting to 40N without this negative result has been rarefying.   

I don't think my climo has dropped this precipitously for the long-term...maybe it has and I'm wrong, but talk to me in another 6-8 years.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I did…maybe I misunderstood too then?  But whatever. Might be time for me to spend less time here for a little while. 

I think he was a little tongue-in-cheek with the "winter ends" proclamation, but just my take. Point was that the pattern looks to be subpar for a while.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't think my climo has dropped this precipitously for the long-term...maybe it has and I'm wrong, but talk to me in another 6-8 years.

It absolutely hasn’t…you’re good. 

 

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think he was a little tongue-in-cheek with the "winter ends" proclamation, but just my take. Point was that the pattern looks to be subpar for a while.

No, I agree, but I’ll take my chances…been frigid and have 2” for the month, so it wouldn’t take much to do even better than that in the snow department. But I’m mostly good with what has transpired so far…mostly due to my winter activity/hobby that takes me into NNE…where they have been doing extremely well.   

[dendrite]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Lemme know what needs clarification 

The end of the week probably ends up something like…

Wed 39-44…Thu 45-50…Fri 50-55

BDL normal will be near 40°. Compared to what it’s been I think the vibe is going to be warmth. But I don’t really know what you’re talking about by pattern…this week? the upcoming few weeks?

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, dendrite said:

The end of the week probably ends up something like…

Wed 39-44…Thu 45-50…Fri 50-55

BDL normal will be near 40°. Compared to what it’s been I think the vibe is going to be warmth. But I don’t really know what you’re talking about by pattern…this week the upcoming few weeks?

Thursday and Friday are mild to warm . But that’s it . Afterwards near normal 

[radarman]

glad we don't live at H5 for a while

[dendrite]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Thursday and Friday are mild to warm . But that’s it . Afterwards near normal 

We’ll see. I think Steve used the word volatile and I agree. It may feel a little like a rollercoaster temp wise with anomalies leaning cooler the further north you go with more wedging during times of WAA. 

[CoastalWx]

20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It absolutely hasn’t…you’re good. 

 

No, I agree, but I’ll take my chances…been frigid and have 2” for the month, so it wouldn’t take much to do even better than that in the snow department. But I’m mostly good with what has transpired so far…mostly due to my winter activity/hobby that takes me into NNE…where they have been doing extremely well.   

I think I clarified it a few times. I said maybe we can take our chances with a front ender, but it’s not wrong to say the pattern stinks. 

[CoastalWx]

There a couple of opportunities to watch including perhaps even on Christmas Day.

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yea just ignore the ensembles. 2 days ave above normal and snow is possible.  Month will finish some -7 -8 here

 Yea just ignore the upcoming pattern...

[CoastalWx]

I like how I get crap for pointing out that the pattern kind of stinks, but people have no issue with these social media Mets going wild and hyping everything little 10mb fart leading to massive snow. 

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

I like how I get crap for pointing out that the pattern kind of stinks, but people have no issue with these social media Mets going wild and hyping everything little 10mb fart leading to massive snow. 

D-drip will get you every time

[Great Snow 1717]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I like how I get crap for pointing out that the pattern kind of stinks, but people have no issue with these social media Mets going wild and hyping everything little 10mb fart leading to massive snow. 

..it is because numerous people here do not want to read/hear the truth...

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I like how I get crap for pointing out that the pattern kind of stinks, but people have no issue with these social media Mets going wild and hyping everything little 10mb fart leading to massive snow. 

Are you new here? Lol

If it’s positive, it doesn’t matter what form it takes. If it’s negative you get “it’s early” “it can change” “it’s day 10” “you just had snow” and my personal favorite “we just don’t know”.

[Typhoon Tip]

Heh... y'all must be new to this social media engagement 

lol

[SouthCoastMA]

I check out X once in a great while..and I regret it every time I do. Same old bs going on, not just weather related. I seriously think being chronically online damages people beyond repair. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

40 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Will not posting and/or Dryslot doing model pbp are my two biggest weather bugaboos. close the shades type events. 

Agree. If Will disappears, you can probably bet the foreseeable future offers absolutely not hope.

and if dryslot is analyzing model runs, I just assume moose fart Maine on the Canadian border is in line for some snow.

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I like how I get crap for pointing out that the pattern kind of stinks, but people have no issue with these social media Mets going wild and hyping everything little 10mb fart leading to massive snow. 

I posted what I did, before I read your last couple posts..:so I didn’t see your clarification, so I stand corrected there.  So maybe as Ray said, your winter over post was tongue in cheek.?   It’s All good. 

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I check out X once in a great while..and I regret it every time I do. Same old bs going on, not just weather related. I seriously think being chronically online damages people beyond repair. 

I’ve deleted every social media app. It’s hot trash.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

I’ve deleted every social media app. It’s hot trash.

Never had any…and I’m so glad. It’s toxic. 

[Kitz Craver]

Honestly, checking weather models and forum updates incessantly probably isn’t the best mental exercise either, lol

[weatherwiz]

I mostly use social media nowadays for sports news/rumors but even those are a joke. There is this stupid Boston page that does does for Bruins/Red Sox and the authors are a bunch of click bait tools with their ridiculous titles. I wish it could be blocked from my google searches for news/rumors. I'd also like to tell them off. 

[Kitz Craver]

So much fake AI shit now, it’s over the top. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

So much fake AI shit now, it’s over the top. 

This is getting out of hand and becoming dangerous very quickly. 

[Snowcrazed71]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m still hoping something works out between now and Christmas, but I think it’s worth noting pattern stinks that’s all. 
 

 

It's frustrating to say the least, but call me an optomist..... Pattern doesn't suck, it just doesn't seem to stay consistent enough to make you feel confident in how things will play out, especially looking out past 1 week. Chin up!