December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[ma blizzard]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Icon and RGEM meh with Sunday night into Monday though

yeah too bad the GFS is the only model on board for that one .. 1"-3" would feel like a SECS  

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

RGEM has been consistently showing C-1" from the norlunish feature on Saturday .. not much but would be nice for the areas that were shutout on Tuesday 

That’s all I’ve got 

[ma blizzard]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s all I’ve got 

sad times .. this must be how the late 80s / early 90s felt 

feels like a region wide 3"-6" would be a KU storm at this point 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

sad times .. this must be how the late 80s / early 90s felt 

feels like a region wide 3"-6" would be a KU storm at this point 

The frustration I felt on Tuesday was exactly how I felt in the majority of the 80’s. A kid to an adult and the feelings don’t change when you get screwed . 

[ma blizzard]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The frustration I felt on Tuesday was exactly how I felt in the majority of the 80’s. A kid to adult and the feelings don’t change when you get screwed . 

I hear ya man it's been a tough stretch. I'm used to being on the wrong side of the gradient in marginal events over here so I get it.

[ORH_wxman]

11 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

sad times .. this must be how the late 80s / early 90s felt 

feels like a region wide 3"-6" would be a KU storm at this point 

3-6” in like 1991 would have half the population storming the grocery stores. I remember back then how massive a 3-6/4-8” storm sounded. 
 

Im ok with nickels and dimes over the next week as long as we keep the longer wave pattern advertised. I think we’ll score something bigger at some point. We get a huge -WPO reload too so I don’t think the general cold pattern is going anywhere regardless of whether we relax a touch mid-month or not. 

[CoastalWx]

Gfs trying for the 8th. 

[weatherwiz]

GFS much sharper with that northern stream s/w sunday night

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

27 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Crushing snow.

Mansfield stake depth at #1 all-time (since 1954) for the date at 47”.

 

You’ve been on a heater over the last couple of years.

only a 4 hour drive away but might as well be on the moon with the sensible weather differences 

[tamarack]

41 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Can't we just put to bed the sun angle garbage? It is such a misnomer.

Or use it very cautiously.  After the 2.4" we had on Nov 16 the snow cover hung around for 7 more days, despite upper 30s maxima and sunny/PC skies.  Move those conditions to March 16 and the cover is gone 2 days after the storm.
Noting sun angle in December means holding onto the pack.

[ORH_wxman]

GFS is partially phasing the two streams which helps it amplify Sunday night. 

[ineedsnow]

GFS not backing down

[ineedsnow]

Nice hit! 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

GFS is partially phasing the two streams which helps it amplify Sunday night. 

I don't think the GFS should be totally tossed. Its idea of amplifying that northern stream has validity. Whether there is some phasing is another story but I'd watch this

[CoastalWx]

Finely chilly too aside from ern Plymouth county to cape but eventually some snow there too.

[CoastalWx]

Give this and the 6z euro maybe we watch.

[Cold Miser]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

3-6” in like 1991 would have half the population storming the grocery stores. I remember back then how massive a 3-6/4-8” storm sounded. 
 

Im ok with nickels and dimes over the next week as long as we keep the longer wave pattern advertised. I think we’ll score something bigger at some point. We get a huge -WPO reload too so I don’t think the general cold pattern is going anywhere regardless of whether we relax a touch mid-month or not. 

When was the last, truly great, region wide KU? 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, weatherwiz said:

I don't think the GFS should be totally tossed. Its idea of amplifying that northern stream has validity. Whether there is some phasing is another story but I'd watch this

4 days out public would be pist they didn't know sooner 

[ineedsnow]

High end advisory on the GFS

[weatherwiz]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

4 days out public would be pist they didn't know sooner 

As discussed the other day, these are the ones to watch for. When you have fast flow with an abundance of shortwaves...too many people get all caught up looking for D10 HECSs and miss these potential systems. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Cold Miser said:

When was the last, truly great, region wide KU? 

Prob Dec 17, 2020 (cape got screwed but the rest of SNE basically got 10”+)…Jan ‘22 wasn’t that good out west and Feb 2021 really screwed the coast. 

[metagraphica]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GFS is partially phasing the two streams which helps it amplify Sunday night. 

 

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

As discussed the other day, these are the ones to watch for. When you have fast flow with an abundance of shortwaves...too many people get all caught up looking for D10 HECSs and miss these potential systems. 

Hopefully other models start showing besides the NAM and GFS

[weatherwiz]

Even on the lesser guidance...the signal for a 70-80 knot jet streak rounding the base of the trough as the trough is getting ready to swing across New England...pretty good signal for at least some degree of amplification. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Hopefully other models start showing besides the NAM and GFS

06z euro was close. Hopefully it ticks a bit better at 12z and then I’ll be more intrigued. We’re kind of due for a solid advisory clipper. 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Hopefully other models start showing besides the NAM and GFS

Euro doesn't look bad IMO. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Monday morning commute disaster on the gfs. Nice little event Monday morning. How we pray 

[SouthCoastMA]

Wish we had a bit more downstream ridging but let's see if it can dig more and phase a bit earlier. It becomes a nuke south of Nova Scotia

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Monday morning commute disaster on the gfs. Nice little event Monday morning. How we pray 

I have Monday's off so would be perfect for me 

[tamarack]

17 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Pope must have did well despite him thinking he has the climo of Long Island 

Dover reported 7.0 and Rochester had reports of 8.0 and 7.0.  PSM only 4.6".