November Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Eskimo Joe]

@WxUSAF would like this:

• Ridging in Alaska
• Ridging in Greenland
• NW flow all the way back to the North Pole
• Stressed polar vortex

 

 

[Eskimo Joe]

 

 

[Maestrobjwa]

46 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

 

Oh if only it weren't a nina and a -PDO! These looks are useless...er, right?

[Chris78]

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Oh if only it weren't a nina and a -PDO! These looks are useless...er, right?

It's not impossible to snow in a nina and a -pdo.

I don't understand your thinking of "close the blinds" till we get a Nino.

Is it harder? Sure but definitely not impossible and all weak ninas arent complete duds.

I wouldn't expect a big storm this year but it doesn't have to be a complete dumpster fire also.

 

[Maestrobjwa]

13 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

It's not impossible to snow in a nina and a -pdo.

I don't understand your thinking of "close the blinds" till we get a Nino.

Is it harder? Sure but definitely not impossible and all weak ninas arent complete duds.

I wouldn't expect a big storm this year but it doesn't have to be a complete dumpster fire also.

 

No I'm not close the blinds like in a "dumpster fire" kind of way. Just more in a not expecting something different from what we've seen in a decade kind of way. Like basically the max for this setup (and winter) is advisory-level scenery snow--which is still nice to look at, mind you. I would just love to see a -AO/-NAO pattern in a more favorable regime to finally break the snow drought.

[frd]

11 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

No I'm not close the blinds like in a "dumpster fire" kind of way. Just more in a not expecting something different from what we've seen in a decade kind of way. Like basically the max for this setup (and winter) is advisory-level scenery snow--which is still nice to look at, mind you. I would just love to see a -AO/-NAO pattern in a more favorable regime to finally break the snow drought.

We have had that multiple times and still failed. We had  them in a Nina and a Nino. The Pac is really King. Many great mets were humbled when the pattern screamed HECS and nothing happened, not even a SECS. However, lets get the cold first and see what happens.