November 2025 OBS Discussion

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will be a mild day with highs reaching the lower 60s. A weak cold front could touch off a few scattered showers. It will turn increasingly windy following the frontal passage. Winds will likely gust past 50 mph for several hours.

Highs will then fall back to the lower and middle 50s Thursday and Friday before milder conditions return for the weekend.

Afterward, there is the potential for a short but sharp cold shot, possibly preceded by a chilly rain. Lows would fall well into the 30s in New York City while highs struggle to reach the middle and upper 40s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 29. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.05°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter.

The SOI was +17.81 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.343 today. 

 

[Sundog]

Not that I believe it (yet) but the Euro had NYC itself below freezing next Tuesday morning. 

[coastalplainsnowman]

15 hours ago, 495weatherguy said:

Fox are there as well.  Deer have been spotted on the North Shore Tower golf course. 

First Sunken Meadow, now North Shore Tower.  Deer must like the golf courses because they've seen the aim of the people at those places and know they're perfectly safe.