Torch Tiger Posted September 5 Share Posted September 5 yeah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radiator Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Eversource has been texting and phoning with heads-up warnings about tomorrow's severe potential... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Seems like Tors galore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Seems like Tors galore Thousands probably. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radiator Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Seems like Tors galore Might make a good name for a rock band. Or for a dessert topping. Or a floor wax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 10 minutes ago, radiator said: Might make a good name for a rock band. Or for a dessert topping. Or a floor wax. Or an IPA. I’d buy cases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 6 Author Share Posted September 6 Hopefully a few tors to spice things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 1 hour ago, radiator said: Eversource has been texting and phoning with heads-up warnings about tomorrow's severe potential... Same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 It will be interesting to see how tomorrow pans out. I don't think we're looking at widespread severe weather but maybe we see something along the line of a concentrated swath of wind damage reports focused where any bowing segments occur. Even with poor mid-level lapse rates, I think if we had better and stronger shortwave forcing that could yield greater potential for a swath of wind damage across the region. The greatest severe weather potential may also be early on, which would favor far western sections as activity develops. LFC heights aren't too bad, so if parcels can get to the LFC easily the initial storms could be potent with risk for a tornado. But I could see this evolving more into a torrential rain/gusty wind on the leading edge ordeal very quickly. Probably Berkshire County, Litchfield County, Fairfield County into western Hartford/Hamden/Hampshire counties for best severe potential...which matches up well with where the slight risk is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 We can always go higher 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Checking out some soundings on the 0z NAM and don't see the funky profile in the lowest km anymore...so its much steeper with the llvl lapse rates. Hell this even looks better in terms of tornado risk, especially early on when storms are discrete and organizing into a line. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 You should all know that starting this thread is the kiss of death for anything exciting 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 6 Author Share Posted September 6 13 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: You should all know that starting this thread is the kiss of death for anything exciting Mine are bulletproof. Talk to me tomorrow when your roof is in Epsom 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Walked out the door this morning and it just has that feel in the air.. today could be a good day.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Tors galore to be sure… but low clouds/ thick pea soup doesn’t scream stormy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 30 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Walked out the door this morning and it just has that feel in the air.. today could be a good day.. Deep summer 5 miler this morning.Felt great just the way most like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 6 Author Share Posted September 6 Looks and feels like a big day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 let’s go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 9 minutes ago, kdxken said: Despite being outside the green by some distance, I have severe in both my p/c and zfp. Please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 3K NAM vs HRRR. Hope NAM is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Wagons north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Smoky. Let’s kill the CAPE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 6 Author Share Posted September 6 Hrrr is terrible. Hope 3k is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wagons north? Nothing in SNE now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 We're going to need to get rid of this smoke so we can heat sufficiently and steepen those llvl lapse rates...that is going to be key today. But I think this setup is getting played up a bit too much (Eversource sending out messaging). It's a narrow corridor for severe potential and that is going to be highly dependent on if we can get heating to steepen those lapse rates up. But as cells develop and rapidly organize into a line updrafts are going to start to struggle (this is where the poor mlvl lapse rates will hurt and lack of stronger s/w forcing) and choke each other off. I think we may see two or maybe three separate swaths where wind damage (maybe a tornado) is most concentrated. First area within Berkshire County through central Mass, another within New Hampshire, and maybe a 3rd into southern Litchfield/northern Fairfield County Connecticut. Once you get to 95 this is where we see a transition to heavy rain/thunder with gusty winds along the outflow and localized damaging wind gust. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 6 Author Share Posted September 6 Debbie's gonna debbie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Debating on planning to go to BDL later and shoot north up 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted September 6 Share Posted September 6 Dublin, NH breaking the tornado drought today? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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