buckeyefan1 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago +1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Probably the best GFS run I have ever seen for WNC. That was impressive and it starts precipitation late Friday night. 48 hour event. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 minute ago, Hvward said: Probably the best GFS run I have ever seen for WNC. That was impressive and it starts precipitation late Friday night. 48 hour event. Still a ways to go but things aren't backing off yet. However, I would 10000% be prepared. That run was ... mind blowing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 9 minutes ago, Hvward said: Probably the best GFS run I have ever seen for WNC. That was impressive and it starts precipitation late Friday night. 48 hour event. I wanna believe but this is turning historic, 93ish..Life threatening for elders and shut ins.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago The battle between that strong Arctic high and Baja low will be fascinating to watch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago An amazing run just 3 to 4 days out! I will say I'm very cautious of those totals but crap cut that in half and thats still one hell of a storm. So we have the Euro and the GFS. The next 48 hours will be telling of what this system could do. Honestly tracking this system had been a delight and fun. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago It's sort of gotten lost in the Big Dog, but my point and click has rain/snow chance developing tomorrow evening and continuing into Friday morning. It does look like the high for the week will be tomorrow here at the house in the low to mid 40’s. I've been at or near freezing since last Saturday morning. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Holy cow. For posterity if nothing else. 18z GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 18Z EURO is exactly why I filled three propane tanks and got gas for the generator. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 18z Euro cuts snow totals to basically zero and has all sleet for all of WNC through Sunday then shows a change to rain. Wow, we all know its possible though. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Hvward said: 18z Euro cuts snow totals to basically zero and has all sleet for all of WNC through Sunday then shows a change to rain. Wow, we all know its possible though. That's not a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Hvward said: 18z Euro cuts snow totals to basically zero and has all sleet for all of WNC through Sunday then shows a change to rain. Wow, we all know its possible though. What’s your read on the drastic change? High pressure change? Just small tweaks little to big changes downstream? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Im sure the next one we need to phase will miss and hit new Orleans again 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Don't dive yet, y'all. Or at all. We are 3-4 days out. Have some good sleep and see what tomorrow brings. Hopefully not ICE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold air aloft Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago I still think this turns out to mostly a snow event from I-85 north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago I've saw alot of em trend NW but very few if any trend SW once it starts the N jog. Hopefully bad data ingestion but I've never been skilled enough to argue with the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted 6 hours ago Author Share Posted 6 hours ago 18z Euro cuts snow totals to basically zero and has all sleet for all of WNC through Sunday then shows a change to rain. Wow, we all know its possible though.I'd be more concerned if this showed up after the recon missions tomorrow. Here's hoping it's just a one-off. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 minute ago, Buckethead said: I'd be more concerned if this showed up after the recon missions tomorrow. Here's hoping it's just a one-off. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk Recon is already sampling the upper low. They flew out of Honolulu. Hopefully we will see that data ingest begin by 6Z and definitely by 12Z tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Bottom line is that it's 1 run. If this continues through tomorrow then we know we have problems. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 23 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: I've saw alot of em trend NW but very few if any trend SW once it starts the N jog. Hopefully bad data ingestion but I've never been skilled enough to argue with the Euro... While I agree, this seems like one of those Arctic air masses that can show more suppression later on. We’ll know more soon but this is one of those setups where it could trend south. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 12 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: While I agree, this seems like one of those Arctic air masses that can show more suppression later on. We’ll know more soon but this is one of those setups where it could trend south. Need to see how the high pressure works down south out of the north land. It is strong which ='s better press. Or not. Either way, crazy system to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 49 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: While I agree, this seems like one of those Arctic air masses that can show more suppression later on. We’ll know more soon but this is one of those setups where it could trend south. Need it out ahead of the southern energy. That would be colder and less phasing. More snow to sleet for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Chris Justice meteorologist channel4 wyff just put out a map who will get heavy snow is mostly all WNC, a mix of snow, sleet and rain for Hendersonville to the extreme upstate and the rest of South Carolina ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Tacoma said: Chris Justice meteorologist channel4 wyff just put out a map who will get heavy snow is mostly all WNC, a mix of snow, sleet and rain for Hendersonville to the extreme upstate and the rest of South Carolina ice. Cuts Rutherford county in half . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Tacoma said: Chris Justice meteorologist channel4 wyff just put out a map who will get heavy snow is mostly all WNC, a mix of snow, sleet and rain for Hendersonville to the extreme upstate and the rest of South Carolina ice. He must have not seen the 18z Euro lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, Met1985 said: He must have not seen the 18z Euro lol. we all know this has happened before when we get within three days the models back off to go right back the next day. that high pressure if it is as strong as they say won't let that low pressure go north any at all, I don't believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I think his map is a pretty safe one as a first call. Easy enough to fine tune with the model chaos and before everyone gets nam'd and before recon data. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopack42 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I'm obviously no met, so pardon the uneducated question, but when you have warmer air aloft in situations like this coming weekend, doesn't that mean places like us at 3000-5000 feet elevation have MORE chance to get IP/ZR or pure rain since we are already in a "higher" part of the atmosphere vs say somewhere east of us at <500 ft elevation? It would seem that would put us in a more precarious situation than those East of us in cases like this. Am I thinking about this right? Thanks for the help trying to understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago GFS is showing more separation with that Baja low. Interesting to see where it lands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 00z looks much improved! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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