Tracking the tropics - 2025

[Damage In Tolland]

Where is @ineedsnow?

[CoastalWx]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Where is @ineedsnow?

Imagine if he listened to the Mets. All that time back.

[Torch Tiger]

4 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Still squarely a threat to Newfoundland. 

Not really a threat. The OPs are hundreds of miles offshore. The future low moving from QC to NF is also fairly deep, and block over Greenland locks it in. I mean it's worth watching there, but not a threat. 

[WxWatcher007]

12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Not really a threat. The OPs are hundreds of miles offshore. The future low moving from QC to NF is also fairly deep, and block over Greenland locks it in. I mean it's worth watching there, but not a threat. 

 

5 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Still squarely a heightened risk to Newfoundland. 

 

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Where is @ineedsnow?

I've been busy putting on a new roof for my aunt I had the last couple days off

58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Imagine if he listened to the Mets. All that time back.

why? I still think its going to be close

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I've been busy putting on a new roof for my aunt I had the last couple days off

why? I still think its going to be close

We continue to watch it

[MJO812]

[Damage In Tolland]

26 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I've been busy putting on a new roof for my aunt I had the last couple days off

why? I still think its going to be close

Nice! Today was the perfect wx day for roofing!Give us deets!

[ineedsnow]

16 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

[ineedsnow]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Nice! Today was the perfect wx day for roofing!Give us deets!

fooking sucked 

[ineedsnow]

[Torch Tiger]

13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

where is the W ATL view

[ineedsnow]

42 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

where is the W ATL view

we trend 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

On 8/13/2025 at 6:37 PM, radarman said:

Big, big waves.  Let's lock in an offshore breeze, TIA

This is a be careful what you wish for scenario. During the hurricane Bill swell in 09 almost every break on Long Island was washed out. As in, the waves were so big they started breaking so far out they just rolled through the break. Thursday looks to do just that. We do not have the bottom for 15’ at 17 seconds. There are a couple select spots in RI (Ruggles) and Montauk (Turtles) that can, but you better be on a gun and damn near a pro. 
For mortals Wednesday and Friday look to be the days. 

[ineedsnow]

we shift

[Torch Tiger]

if one really "wants" a strong TC into NE, you don't want a massive major out there upwelling and flying OTS. 

[Hoth]

1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

This is a be careful what you wish for scenario. During the hurricane Bill swell in 09 almost every break on Long Island was washed out. As in, the waves were so big they started breaking so far out they just rolled through the break. Thursday looks to do just that. We do not have the bottom for 15’ at 17 seconds. There are a couple select spots in RI (Ruggles) and Montauk (Turtles) that can, but you better be on a gun and damn near a pro. 
For mortals Wednesday and Friday look to be the days. 

Bill's waves were the first time I understood the kind of power these storms pack. Just a special experience for me on Fishers Island.  Massive massive waves slamming the beach and sucking thousands of stones out as they receded, all under a full moon with distant flashes of lightning on the southern horizon from the nearest band. My house is on the northern side of the island and you could hear the waves thudding a mile and change away.

[Torch Tiger]

DT's thoughts fwiw

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

41 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Bill's waves were the first time I understood the kind of power these storms pack. Just a special experience for me on Fishers Island.  Massive massive waves slamming the beach and sucking thousands of stones out as they receded, all under a full moon with distant flashes of lightning on the southern horizon from the nearest band. My house is on the northern side of the island and you could hear the waves thudding a mile and change away.

That’s a great story. I always wondered if fishers island was surfable. Takes a serious swell to make it through block island sound. On the hurricane teddy swell a few years ago I could hear the boulders moving under the waves in Montauk. A very cool clunking sound. Surfed some 15’ waves at ditch plains that day. 

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, Hoth said:

Bill's waves were the first time I understood the kind of power these storms pack. Just a special experience for me on Fishers Island.  Massive massive waves slamming the beach and sucking thousands of stones out as they receded, all under a full moon with distant flashes of lightning on the southern horizon from the nearest band. My house is on the northern side of the island and you could hear the waves thudding a mile and change away.

That’s awesome 

[CoastalWx]

Jesus  Christ it’s a fish storm. You people.

[jbenedet]

The GEFS and EPS are finally starting to digest a -NAO developing as Erin makes closest pass to CONUS. This is best seen in the increase in number of individual members slowing down and well west of the mean. Surface HP also now shown building in SE Canada. 

 

I am still watching for interest in how this all unfolds, because I do think the simple wide right recurve is amiss in this regard—it doesn’t fit the developing pattern.

[metagraphica]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Jesus  Christ it’s a fish storm. You people.

Whaddya mean "You people"?

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Jesus  Christ it’s a fish storm. You people.

Its not set in stone

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Whaddya mean "You people"?

Not you lol.

[SouthCoastMA]

Lloyd Christmas likes it's chances

[SouthCoastMA]

18 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Its not set in stone

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

I honestly stay hope he’s kidding because it’s cringe worthy.