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August Discobs 2025


George BM
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1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Will those showers actually make it to 95??

Interesting there are showers moving SE to NW towards the bay and showers moving NW to SE towards I-95 at the same time.

I predict a convergence zone with incredible lift and flooding somewhere between the Fall line and the bay. B)

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37 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Interesting there are showers moving SE to NW towards the bay and showers moving NW to SE towards I-95 at the same time.

I predict a convergence zone with incredible lift and flooding somewhere between the Fall line and the bay. B)

The lowlands really could use another flood. There's only been 5 or 6 since July. We could use more cloudy, humid days too lol

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8 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said:

0.29", missed all the heavy rain, over 1.0" just 2 miles west of my location. 0.78" month

 

@CAPElooks like just to your south persistent heavy rain

Yeah Tuckahoe is getting hammered. Flash flood warning in that area. Fun for anyone camping there tonight.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
700 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Caroline County in eastern Maryland...
  South Central Queen Anne`s County in northeastern Maryland...

* Until 1100 PM EDT.

* At 700 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2.5 and 3.5 inches of
  rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
  shortly.
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11 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I wish I kept track of how many cloudy, swamy mornings this summer. I was on the swim team as a kid. We practiced every morning. I never remember dreary mornings during summer. This summer has to be a record. Another dreary day. Yay

Last week the forecast was for sunny weather for multiple days in a row despite any effects from Erin.

This week at Dewey has been nasty. Constant cloud cover, mist, high winds, high waves.

It has been a record in terms of high humidity and high dew points both nationally and globally. 

 

 

 

 

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51 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I wish I kept track of how many cloudy, swamy mornings this summer. I was on the swim team as a kid. We practiced every morning. I never remember dreary mornings during summer. This summer has to be a record. Another dreary day. Yay

Yeah this is getting ridiculous with day after day of dreary, but yet I have to run the damn sprinklers (it has not rained more than a couple tenths at a time here since July 2).  I hope next week's forecasts of sunny and cool are right!

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40 minutes ago, frd said:

Last week the forecast was for sunny weather for multiple days in a row despite any effects from Erin.

This week at Dewey has been nasty. Constant cloud cover, mist, high winds, high waves.

It has been a record in terms of high humidity and high dew points both nationally and globally. 

 

 

 

 

The forecast last week was dependent on the exact track, strength, and timing of Erin. There was a fair amount of uncertainty at that time. Had it recurved sooner and tracked further offshore, the weather this week would have been quite a bit different.

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1 hour ago, CAPE said:

The forecast last week was dependent on the exact track, strength, and timing of Erin. There was a fair amount of uncertainty at that time. Had it recurved sooner and tracked further offshore, the weather this week would have been quite a bit different.

Talking early in the week when Monday and Tuesday were cloudy and wet at the beach with mostly cloudy skies and mist. Areas back home had sun in Northern De., and PA was mostly sunny. The front stalled, more onshore flow and what was forecasted as sunny turned into cloudy conditions for the Southern areas. 

Erin's impact on Dewey's weather was more mid to late week. Today being the worse of the last four days here. I need more orange crushes today.   

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4 hours ago, dailylurker said:

I wish I kept track of how many cloudy, swamy mornings this summer. I was on the swim team as a kid. We practiced every morning. I never remember dreary mornings during summer. This summer has to be a record. Another dreary day. Yay

I agree. We're about the same age and in middle/high school I ran cross country and don't remember a) temps above about 97 and b) this kind of humidity. Of course that wasn't a particularly long time. As soon as I went away to college, I discovered beer, pizza and blew up like a balloon and rarely saw a clock before noon.

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First time in while when looking at https://www.greencastonline.com/tools/soil-moisture my current soil moisture is above 5 year and 10 year averages,  while my current soil temp is below 5 year and 10 year averages. 

I believe to overseed a cool season lawn you want a 5 day average soil temp of 70 degrees or lower.  Still waiting until Sept to do any lawn overseeding projects, but at least the medium trend is positive for lawn health in areas of the forum where rain has fallen.  

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Looks like some drier air is slowly making it's way into the region as Erin pulls away...maybe we can get some breaks in the clouds by early evening.  4 days straight of this...it's time for a pattern flip.

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15 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Total overwash in wildwood crest NJ in a pretty stiff breeze. Low tide now, seagulls be like "SCREEEE!" flying by. Will be a fun high tide later. The ocean is ROUGH. I've never seen the horizon look so choppy here (been coming for 35+ years)

image.png.2b03961602a58ec68b9567cd11851ef7.png

I had a house on 14th Street North. Wildwood would go down there when I was 5 years old. It was always so much fun and still do now but don't have a home there any longer. 

 

I can imagine the areas that flood are probably in pretty bad shape right now thinking West Wildwood and that bridge area and back Bay areas. 

 

The video camera at 15th and surf avenue at the lifeguard station shows a pretty wild situation with huge seas, very choppy conditions and high winds. 

 

Was a crummy week at Dewey but looking forward to some more day trips in September to the beach as the ocean remains warm and there should be some days with offshore winds for good surfing.

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Solid surf approaching 2x overhead+. Winds are unfavorable locally and most breaks are overloaded.

Solid well overhead surf this morning with onshore NE winds and trashed conditions. Only doable at the sheltered/novelty spots.

The big issue is that it looks like we'll see strong onshore NE winds throughout the day, meaning conditions will be choppy and very challenging. A expert only day anyway, and most breaks won't be worth the risk/reward.

 
 
 
MARINE...
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the waters offshore
Manasquan Inlet to Fenwick Island through tonight with a Gale
Warning in effect for the waters offshore Sandy Hook to
Manasquan Inlet through tonight. For the lower Delaware Bay, a
Gale Warning is in effect through midnight tonight. For the
upper Delaware Bay, a Small Craft Advisory is in effect through
tonight.

Northeast winds continue to steadily increase today as
Hurricane Erin approaches with sustained winds between 25-35 kt
expected. Wind gusts upwards of 40-45 kt are expected on the
Atlantic coastal waters with gusts upwards of 30-40 kt expected
on the Delaware Bay before gradually diminishing overnight.
Occasional showers possible across all waters which may cause
locally higher gusts.

Seas of 8-12 feet this morning will steadily build up to 12-17
feet this afternoon before gradually beginning to abate tonight
for the Atlantic coastal waters. Rough and choppy waters are
expected on the Delaware Bay.
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