wdrag Posted Monday at 09:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:15 PM Something is bothering me about the constancy of PW over 2" into Wednesday morning, the likelihood 2 - possibly 3 bands of heavy showers and embedded strong thunderstorm passing through our area with plenty of ML Cape over 1200J and 30 kt+ deep layer shear, enough for severe storms, damage, power outages. One band of convection now approaching I78-i80 at 515PM June 30 should weaken soon after sunset. A band of heavy convection should occur predawn Tuesday (Wfront?) with another band redevelopment late Wednesday morning or afternoon (CF). The EC suite differs a bit from HRRR/GFS suite. Now emerging is a 3rd band early Wednesday NJ/LI prior to clearing out the complex frontal boundary out of here. FF and SVR, both mesoscale with some modeling offering isolated 5" amounts in NJ and very low probability, LI, by the time this is done. SPC has us in severe and WPC slight risk FF. If the overnight band is insignificant, then this will likely be a wasted short fuse thread. Quote 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted Tuesday at 10:44 AM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 10:44 AM Dissapointing die off near I80 overnight, after 2+ near Trenton and apparently 1-1.5 parts of southeast LI earlier today. This afternoon-night should be active with mesoscale SVR/FF reports. Leftover rain Wed morning LI-NJ. I probably wont be back on til late today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted Tuesday at 10:48 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:48 AM Violent thunder woke me up around 1am. Is fire island ok? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted Tuesday at 11:22 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:22 AM 34 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Violent thunder woke me up around 1am. Is fire island ok? We can't seem to get a good thunderstorm when we want one so having one at 1am when no one wants it and also wakes everyone up will have to do 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 12:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:32 PM missed most of the overnight action here, .06 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 02:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:31 PM Sw of ttn will probably be the place to be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:50 PM 19 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Sw of ttn will probably be the place to be 7-10 splint for most of the NYC area on the HRRR, 3K NAM as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:55 PM Got a nice soaking around 4 am. The lawns will be happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Tuesday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:09 PM It’s is incredibly muggy out there. Dew is 75 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:17 PM Bright blue skies up here in Mahwah, 81 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Tuesday at 03:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:31 PM 85/77 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Tuesday at 05:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:12 PM 0.83" last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 05:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:13 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Tuesday at 05:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:13 PM Just now, Rjay said: 0.83" last night Currently 84/76 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Tuesday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:23 PM 9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: come on okx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Tuesday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:34 PM Currently light rain with thunder at jones beach. We just cleared the beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 08:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:34 PM Eastern PA and Western NJ looking good. Wish we could get in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted Tuesday at 08:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:35 PM Made it back from cycling before getting walloped down here in Brick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted Tuesday at 09:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:00 PM Oh boy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM Interesting sky here however virtually no lightning. Tornado warned storm is just south of Allentown currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted Tuesday at 09:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:22 PM Heavy rain and frequent lightning here in Brick. Not much wind and no hail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 09:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:40 PM You can see the line in PA starting to pulse down. Might just turn into a moderate rain maker 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Tuesday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:10 PM Big bust here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 10:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:12 PM 1 hour ago, Cyg said: Oh boy Luckyyyyy - in Napoleon Dynamite voice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted Tuesday at 10:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:17 PM Barely light rain here yet we had a close strike of lightning with thunder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Tuesday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:23 PM Light rain and thunder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Tuesday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:34 PM Tiny downpour. It poured for about 2 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted Tuesday at 10:43 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 10:43 PM So far via weather underground 4.36 Asbury park and 4.13 Herbertsville...sough edge of our forum. That's today only. does not include anything last evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 10:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:46 PM Quick downpour in mahwah. Purple and pink skyes as I walked out. Nothing now. Radar looks incredible everywhere except where I'm driving too. Sussex county for the win... Again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 11:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:06 PM Hrrr was right with the 2 areas of severe being mostly north and south of the nyc metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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