mreaves Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 43 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Anyone think Costco's will be open tomorrow? Want to try and go chasing after work but I need to go to Costco The one here in VT is closed tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 What’s this shit moving in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Watch coming for the north country shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What’s this shit moving in Is this like a weak pre-frontal trough or something? Looks like it on WV or some weak embedded shortwave trough ahead of the larger s/w trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 what a supercell in far northwestern Maine 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 3 Author Share Posted July 3 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What’s this shit moving in weak flow in the summer's a bitch to figure this shit out sometimes. all these crickets in the flow. that band is between the fronts given WPC, which is kind of a piece of shit surface obs option anyway, because they only update the fucker 3 hours at a time. so who knows .... what's triggering a band of convection doing between these boundaries it seems to decaying on radar/ sat trends. but the surface obs on the post side of it are cold. it's in the low to mid 60s under that wedged clearing over eastern NY this is nuanced scenario. that's doesn't seem like anything's going to trigger there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Watches hoisted up here. DISCUSSION...Two areas of ongoing convection, one along the ME/QC border and the other near the NY/VT border vicinity, should intensify as they spread east across parts of New England into midday. 12Z CAR sounding sampled a moderate combination of MLCAPE and effective bulk shear with convective temperature in the upper 70s. 14Z surface temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to low 80s with abundant insolation ahead of both convective areas. While the 12Z HRRR appears to be poorly handling the near-term scenario, it does suggest another round of strong to potentially severe convection may emanate eastward from ongoing storms across the Saint Lawrence Valley near northern NY. A mix of isolated severe hail with a predominant threat of scattered strong to localized severe gusts producing damaging winds seems probable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 In case anyone really can’t figure this out on their own: https://customerservice.costco.com/app/answers/answer_view/a_id/701/~/what-are-costco’s-holiday-closures%3F 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What’s this shit moving in My trees need it. Sorry about rain on the ski bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 3 Author Share Posted July 3 Next chance for a heat wave is Sun-Mon-Tue ... Tuesday's a bit of a wild card. May fail, but Sun-Mon are modeled as low or middle 90s. Beyond that... there doesn't appear to be an ensemble supported cooler transport, so it's not clear how far down toward normal the ambience will settle off. It may in fact stay modestly above normal during the remainder of the week. Beyond that...watching for the possibility of a newer warm ridge emergence. The spatial synoptic layout of the ensemble, particularly in the EPS mean, for that that period show a distinct tendency for lowering heights in the Pac Nw... At this time of year that teleconnects to a ridge in the mid lat continent down stream. We're talking D10+ so the operational runs don't really have any responsibility to necessarily show that - so we'll see. But that tendency preceded the eventual emergence of the bigger heat event recently when it too was in the 10 day to 2 week lead, but only vaguely. It seems to be this is a leitmotif so far this warm season - could be an indicator for a warm summer if that continues. In the meantime, I do suspect we'll have to contend with bigger heat once or twice during these next 3 weeks at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Next chance for a heat wave is Sun-Mon-Tue ... Tuesday's a bit of a wild card. May fail, but Sun-Mon are modeled as low or middle 90s. Beyond that... there doesn't appear to be an ensemble supported cooler transport, so it's not clear how far down toward normal the ambience will settle off. It may in fact stay modestly above normal during the remainder of the week. Beyond that...watching for the possibility of a newer warm ridge emergence. The spatial synoptic layout of the ensemble, particularly in the EPS mean, for that that period show a distinct tendency for lowering heights in the Pac Nw... At this time of year that teleconnects to a ridge in the mid lat continent down stream. We're talking D10+ so the operational runs don't really have any responsibility to necessarily show that - so we'll see. But that tendency preceded the eventual emergence of the bigger heat event recently when it too was in the 10 day to 2 week lead, but only vaguely. It seems to be this is a leitmotif so far this warm season - could be an indicator for a warm summer if that continues. I do suspect we have run in with big heat again during these next 3 weeks at some point. Looks like we should be solidly above average, even behind any FROPAs...the only thing we'll noticeably have is a brief period of lower dews. People could call this cheap or whatever because it could be alot of 90/91's but some of the typical torch spots will have a good shot to rack up some 90's over the next few weeks. A quick glimpse of the pattern too should yield hope for MCS potential but we probably get screwed and everything goes from northern Plains, upper-Midwest, Ohio Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Let’s wash out Center Harbor and the Weirs again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Those cell's near Berlin went severe with some hail in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 NNE round 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Almost 80dBZ up in the county must’ve been fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Shit I don’t need hail 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 3 Author Share Posted July 3 Impressive CB structures visible here on the NW-N horizon associated with that... I can also see TCU ( new) just up the way so I suspect Rt 2 may take off down here soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Contoocook reporting 1/2” hail again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 A few light storms, nothing too heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Shit I don’t need hail No we don't need hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 3 Author Share Posted July 3 yup there we go nice cell near orange Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 16 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: NNE round 1. Nashua can't miss this one. congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Just now, Torch Tiger said: Nashua can't miss this one. congrats Make a bet? Nashua always misses 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Cell by Jackson is mean. Nice meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Make a bet? Nashua always misses congrats in advance (cia) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yup there we go nice cell near orange Will be warned soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Looks like Hubbdave gets the goods. will probably split N/S in this area, not expecting anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Bethel-Rumford corridor now warned, Healthy cell too near Bartlett NH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 My folks are near 89/93 interchange, says traffic at a standstill almost due to violent weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted July 3 Share Posted July 3 Storming in Meredith, but nothing too out of the ordinary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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