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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat


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4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I follow him and talk to him every now and then. I think he just graduated HS a few years ago but for his age he is extremely smart. His posts are solid quality IMO

If we judge him on this one post, he’s a ratter.

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15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Torch start to Aug?

image.thumb.png.2b6631d3154538af36e2509d6bf9dbd0.png

That’s 1 cherrypicked 6hr frame of -0.5C.

But yeah, with the big ridge out west it’s probably only near normal to slightly AN with occasional fropas and shots of warmth. 

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4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

12z gfs shows how easy it is for the cold shots to fail and the warmth to win out after early next week.

Anything this time of year that projects slightly below average should almost always be bumped to ‘average’ unless the air mass is considerably below average and dry. The reason being is that overnight lows in the summer now are almost always above average because of humidity. It is very hard to get a below-average low lately, even if the daytime temps are right around or just slightly below average. 

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6 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

Anything this time of year that projects slightly below average should almost always be bumped to ‘average’ unless the air mass is considerably below average and dry. The reason being is that overnight lows in the summer now are almost always above average because of humidity. It is very hard to get a below-average low lately, even if the daytime temps are right around or just slightly below average. 

It’s tough to go BN on temps for a prolonged period in the summer without precipitation. -10 to -15F with a canadian airmass is a unicorn event now. 

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